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Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Sunderland
S U U U T
2–1
Full-time
Wigan
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
62%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 14. · Wigan 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 13 7 3 3 +11 24
2 Norwich 13 7 3 3 +7 24
3 QPR 14 7 3 4 +4 24
4 Burnley 13 5 7 1 +8 22
5 Reading 13 7 1 5 -3 22
6 Luton 14 5 6 3 +5 21
7 Swansea 13 6 3 4 +1 21
8 Blackburn 14 7 0 7 +0 21
9 Preston 14 4 7 3 +0 19
10 Wigan 13 5 4 4 -2 19
11 Rotherham 13 4 6 3 +2 18
12 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 +0 18
13 Cardiff 13 5 3 5 -1 18
14 Sunderland 13 4 5 4 +4 17
15 Watford 13 4 5 4 +1 17
16 Millwall 13 5 2 6 -2 17
17 Birmingham 13 4 4 5 +0 16
18 Stoke 13 4 4 5 -2 16
19 Blackpool 13 4 3 6 -4 15
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 -13 14
21 Middlesbrough 12 3 4 5 -3 13
22 West Brom 13 1 8 4 -1 11
23 Huddersfield 13 3 2 8 -5 11
24 Coventry 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Wigan
Elliot Embleton 🟨
25′
29′
🟨 Curtis Tilt
44′
C. Wyke 0–1
Half-time 0–1
A. Diallo 🔁
↦ L. Gooch
46′
1–1 E. Embleton
D. Cirkin
54′
68′
🔁 J. Magennis
↦ C. Wyke
2–1 D. Cirkin
A. Pritchard
72′
77′
🔁 T. Aasgaard
↦ C. Tilt
81′
🔁 G. Shinnie
↦ T. Naylor
81′
🔁 A. Fletcher
↦ N. Broadhead
Alex Pritchard 🟨
83′
Anthony Patterson 🟨
85′
B. Wright 🔁
↦ E. Embleton
92′
96′
🟨 Will Keane
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sunderland

3-4-3
1 A. Patterson G
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
3 D. Cirkin D
11 L. Gooch M
8 E. Embleton M
24 D. Neil M
42 A. Alese M
10 P. Roberts F
21 A. Pritchard F
20 J. Clarke F
Bench (7)
16 A. Diallo
26 B. Wright
27 J. Matete
12 A. Bass
7 L. Dajaku
19 J. Bennette
25 É. Michut

Coach: T. Mowbray

Wigan

3-4-2-1
12 B. Amos G
15 J. Kerr D
5 J. Whatmough D
16 C. Tilt D
27 T. Darikwa M
8 M. Power M
4 T. Naylor M
11 J. McClean M
20 N. Broadhead F
10 W. Keane F
9 C. Wyke F
Bench (7)
28 J. Magennis
30 T. Aasgaard
18 G. Shinnie
23 A. Fletcher
21 J. Bennett
6 J. Cousins
1 James Jones

Coach: L. Richardson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,29
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.