Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Taça de Portugal

Referee: Hélder Carvalho

Fontinhas

S S

0–2

Full-time

Arouca

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Fontinhas Arouca

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Fontinhas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Canelas 2010	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
28	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
29	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
65	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
123	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
127	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
128	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
132	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
133	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
134	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
135	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
71	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Oliveirense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
37	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fontinhas Arouca

10′

⚽ Oday Dabbagh 0–1

35′

🟨 A. Ruiz

Cruz Itto 🟨

40′

Half-time 0–1

Aliu Ronaldo 🔁

↦ Jordanes Medeiros

46′

Vilmar Junior 🔁

↦ Ricardo Almeida

46′

🔁 Pedro Moreira

↦ A. Ruiz

H. Doukoure 🟨

51′

62′

🔁 A. Bukia

↦ Antony

62′

🔁 Bruno Marques

↦ Oday Dabbagh

64′

🟨 D. Simao

Breno Freitas 🔁

↦ H. Doukouré

69′

Roger 🔁

↦ P. Bonkat

75′

78′

⚽ Bruno Marques 0–2

Samuel Velho 🔁

↦ Itto Cruz

80′

Desailly 🟨

84′

🔁 Vitinho

↦ João Basso

84′

🔁 J. Velázquez

↦ M. Sylla

92′

🟨 T. Esgaio

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fontinhas

Rodolfo Cardoso

Itto Cruz

P. Addico

Diogo Careca

Desailly

Ragner Paula

Jordanes Medeiros

Hircane Graça

H. Doukouré

Ricardo Almeida

P. Bonkat

Bench (9)

Aliu Ronaldo

Vilmar Junior

Breno Freitas

Roger

Samuel Velho

C. Okoua

Diogo Moniz

Samir Banjai

Vitor Miranda

Coach: Pedro Lima

Arouca

João Valido

N. Galović

Quaresma

João Basso

David Simão

A. Ruiz

Tiago Esgaio

M. Sylla

Arsénio

Oday Dabbagh

Antony

Bench (9)

Pedro Moreira

A. Bukia

Bruno Marques

Vitinho

J. Velázquez

I. De Arruabarrena

B. Milovanov

I. Soro

Y. Moses

Coach: Armando Evangelista

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

Referee

Hélder Carvalho · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,9 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

29,4 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Fontinhas

Arouca

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee