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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Marco Cruz

Sanjoanense

S S

3–2

Full-time

CF Os Belenenses

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sanjoanense CF Os Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+2,0

This season — Taça de Portugal · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sanjoanense 10. · CF Os Belenenses 38. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Sertanense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Canelas 2010	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
30	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
34	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
65	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
66	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
125	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
126	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
127	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
129	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
130	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
132	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
133	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
134	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
135	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
136	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Pêro Pinheiro	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vilaverdense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bragança	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
11	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
15	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	AR São Martinho	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Machico	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Farense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
39	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Camacha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
82	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
84	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.