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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Karagumruk
U U U T T
3–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,6
0,6
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Hatayspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 9 5 3 1 +7 18
2 Ad. Demirspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Konyaspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +15 17
5 Buyuksehyr 8 5 2 1 +8 17
6 Galatasaray 8 5 2 1 +4 17
7 Trabzonspor 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Kayserispor 9 4 1 4 +3 13
9 Kasimpasa 9 4 1 4 -7 13
10 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Giresunspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 İstanbulspor 8 2 2 4 -6 8
14 Ankaragücü 8 2 1 5 -5 7
15 Sivasspor 9 1 4 4 -5 7
16 Hatayspor 8 2 1 5 -6 7
17 Antalyaspor 9 2 1 6 -7 7
18 Karagumruk 8 1 3 4 -4 6
19 Ümraniyespor 9 0 3 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Hatayspor
Jimmy Durmaz 🟨
11′
21′
🟨 Burak Öksüz
28′
ℹ️ Rayane Aabid
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 S. Caulker
C. Erkin
36′
Anwan Lawrence 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Saint-Louis
↦ M. Boudjemaa
46′
🔁 S. Adekugbe
↦ K. Kanak
2–0 F. Borini
C. Erkin
48′
63′
🔁 C. Atsu
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
63′
🔁 Zé Luís
↦ B. Yıldırım
A. Uğur 🔁
↦ L. Nicholas
75′
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ K. Frei
75′
77′
ℹ️ Rayane Aabid
VAR: Goal cancelled
Davide Biraschi 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Onur Ergun
88′
🔁 K. Varga
↦ R. Aabid
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
91′
L. Mercan 🔁
↦ F. Borini
91′
3–0 M. Diagne
98′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-3-3
2 E. Viviano G
4 D. Biraschi D
44 S. Caulker D
5 I. Drešević D
88 C. Erkin D
24 L. Nicholas M
27 M. Ozdoev M
21 J. Durmaz M
70 J. Kouassi F
16 F. Borini F
11 K. Frei F
Bench (10)
77 A. Uğur
9 M. Diagne
54 S. Dursun
18 L. Mercan
17 S. Onur
3 E. Tintiş
37 E. Mızrakcı
1 B. Şen
23 C. Kablan
86 B. Bekaroğlu

Coach: A. Pirlo

Hatayspor

4-3-3
1 E. Kardeşler G
12 K. Çörekçi D
5 O. Vranješ D
53 B. Öksüz D
26 K. Kanak D
8 M. Boudjemaa M
4 O. Ergün M
10 R. Aabid M
25 A. El Kaabi F
99 B. Yıldırım F
11 S. Lobzhanidze F
Bench (10)
9 D. Saint-Louis
23 S. Adekugbe
30 C. Atsu
29 Zé Luís
21 K. Varga
3 S. Falette
31 A. Yiğiter
6 M. Çağıran
15 R. Yılmaz
77 S. Baş

Coach: V. Demirel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,66
B
3,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.