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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Wolfsburg
T S T S U
2–2
Full-time
M'gladbach
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 13. · M'gladbach 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Bayern Munich 9 4 4 1 +17 16
5 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 M'gladbach 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 FC Koln 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Augsburg 9 4 1 4 -4 13
11 RB Leipzig 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Mainz 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Wolfsburg 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Hertha 9 1 5 3 -2 8
15 Leverkusen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
17 Stuttgart 9 0 5 4 -5 5
18 Bochum 9 1 1 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg M'gladbach
13′
M. Thuram 0–1
A. Pléa
1–1 Y. Gerhardt
Paulo Otávio
43′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Julian Weigl
47′
M. Thuram 1–2
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
59′
Omar Marmoush 🔁
↦ L. Nmecha
59′
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
65′
2–2 Omar Marmoush
Paulo Otávio
69′
K. Paredes 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
73′
77′
🔁 N. Ngoumou
↦ A. Pléa
Paulo Otávio 🟨
81′
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Lars Stindl
86′
🟨 Kouadio Koné
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ M. Lacroix
89′
J. Wind 🔁
↦ J. Kamiński
89′
89′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ L. Stindl
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-5-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
6 Paulo Otávio D
39 P. Wimmer M
32 M. Svanberg M
27 M. Arnold M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
16 J. Kamiński M
10 L. Nmecha F
Bench (9)
22 F. Nmecha
33 Omar Marmoush
40 K. Paredes
29 J. Guilavogui
23 J. Wind
7 L. Waldschmidt
2 K. Fischer
12 P. Pervan
3 S. Bornauw

Coach: N. Kovač

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
29 J. Scally D
5 M. Friedrich D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaïni D
8 J. Weigl M
17 M. Koné M
23 J. Hofmann M
13 L. Stindl M
14 A. Pléa M
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
19 N. Ngoumou
7 P. Herrmann
24 T. Jantschke
20 L. Netz
21 T. Sippel
38 Y. Borges Sanches
18 S. Lainer
34 C. Noß
27 R. Reitz

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,62
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.