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Süper Lig
Referee: A Kardeşler
Kayserispor
T S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 54%
44%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
44%
38%
Both score Ø 30%
22%
38%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 15
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 8. · Galatasaray 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ad. Demirspor 10 6 3 1 +10 21
2 Besiktas 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Konyaspor 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +15 17
5 Buyuksehyr 8 5 2 1 +8 17
6 Galatasaray 8 5 2 1 +4 17
7 Trabzonspor 9 5 2 2 +2 17
8 Kayserispor 9 4 1 4 +3 13
9 Kasimpasa 10 4 1 5 -10 13
10 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 -5 12
12 Karagumruk 9 2 3 4 -1 9
13 Giresunspor 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 İstanbulspor 8 2 2 4 -6 8
15 Ankaragücü 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Sivasspor 9 1 4 4 -5 7
17 Antalyaspor 9 2 1 6 -7 7
18 Hatayspor 9 2 1 6 -9 7
19 Ümraniyespor 9 0 3 6 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Galatasaray
1–0 M. Gavranović
O. Kemen
22′
29′
🟨 Sacha Boey
2–0 O. Bulut
34′
Olivier Kemen 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ Y. Akgün
46′
🔁 M. Rashica
↦ F. Midtsjø
46′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ D. Mertens
57′
ℹ️ Abdülkerim Bardakcı
VAR: Goal cancelled
Miguel Cardoso 🟨
66′
A. Karimi 🔁
↦ O. Kemen
67′
75′
🔁 B. Gomis
↦ Mata
M. Thiam 🔁
↦ Miguel Cardoso
76′
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ M. Gavranović
82′
A. Bertolacci 🔁
↦ B. Mensah
83′
E. Başsan 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
83′
86′
B. Yılmaz 2–1
87′
🔁 K. Aktürkoğlu
↦ L. Torreira
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-1-4-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
5 M. Hosseini D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
21 L. Carole D
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
28 R. Civelek M
10 O. Kemen M
43 B. Mensah M
7 Miguel Cardoso M
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
6 A. Karimi
27 M. Thiam
9 M. Pektemek
91 A. Bertolacci
17 E. Başsan
11 G. Sazdağı
20 Carlos Mané
22 H. Erkip
12 A. Taşdan
23 İ. Parlak

Coach: Ç. Atan

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
5 L. Torreira M
6 F. Midtsjø M
11 Y. Akgün M
64 Mata M
10 D. Mertens M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
27 Sérgio Oliveira
26 M. Rashica
53 B. Yılmaz
18 B. Gomis
7 K. Aktürkoğlu
22 B. Kutlu
40 E. Bayram
2 L. Dubois
9 H. Seferović
34 O. Kocuk

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,03
U
3,68
B
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kardeşler · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.