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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Malec

Warta Poznan

U U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 13. · Jagiellonia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+11	24
3	Legia	13	7	3	3	+1	24
4	Stal Mielec	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	3	3	+4	21
6	Widzew Lodz	12	6	2	4	+5	20
7	Lech Poznan	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Jagiellonia	12	4	5	3	+6	17
9	Cracovia	12	5	2	5	+4	17
10	Zaglebie	12	4	5	3	-2	17
11	Radomiak Radom	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	4	5	-5	16
13	Warta Poznan	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	4	4	-3	13
15	Korona Kielce	13	3	3	7	-6	12
16	Piast Gliwice	12	3	2	7	-3	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	2	8	-14	8
18	Legnica	11	1	2	8	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Legia	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	2	0	+6	14
5	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Slask Wroclaw	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Cracovia	7	3	1	3	+4	10
8	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
12	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
13	Zaglebie	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Korona Kielce	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Legnica	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Stal Mielec	7	4	0	3	-1	12
4	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	-2	10
6	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Korona Kielce	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Legia	7	2	2	3	-6	8
11	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
17	Piast Gliwice	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Legnica	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.