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Championship

Referee: D England

Watford

T U S T T

2–1

Full-time

Norwich

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Championship · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

54%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 12

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Watford 17. · Norwich 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	14	6	7	1	+12	25
2	Sheffield United	14	7	4	3	+11	25
3	Norwich	13	7	3	3	+7	24
4	QPR	14	7	3	4	+4	24
5	Blackburn	15	8	0	7	+1	24
6	Reading	14	7	1	6	-5	22
7	Luton	14	5	6	3	+5	21
8	Swansea	14	6	3	5	-3	21
9	Sunderland	14	5	5	4	+5	20
10	Millwall	14	6	2	6	-1	20
11	Stoke	14	5	4	5	+0	19
12	Preston	15	4	7	4	-2	19
13	Wigan	14	5	4	5	-3	19
14	Rotherham	13	4	6	3	+2	18
15	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-1	18
16	Cardiff	14	5	3	6	-2	18
17	Watford	13	4	5	4	+1	17
18	Birmingham	13	4	4	5	+0	16
19	Blackpool	14	4	4	6	-4	16
20	West Brom	14	2	8	4	+1	14
21	Hull	13	4	2	7	-13	14
22	Middlesbrough	13	3	4	6	-4	13
23	Huddersfield	13	3	2	8	-5	11
24	Coventry	10	1	4	5	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	8	5	1	2	+3	16
2	Rotherham	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Blackburn	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Millwall	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Sheffield United	7	4	2	1	+9	14
6	Norwich	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Burnley	7	3	4	0	+7	13
8	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	+4	13
9	Middlesbrough	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Hull	7	4	0	3	-3	12
11	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
12	Cardiff	7	3	2	2	+1	11
13	Sunderland	7	2	4	1	+3	10
14	Luton	8	2	4	2	+2	10
15	Huddersfield	7	3	1	3	+2	10
16	Watford	6	3	1	2	+1	10
17	Swansea	7	3	1	3	-1	10
18	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	+2	8
19	Stoke	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+1	7
21	Blackpool	6	2	1	3	+0	7
22	Preston	8	1	4	3	-4	7
23	Wigan	7	1	3	3	-6	6
24	Coventry	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	7	4	1	2	+3	13
2	QPR	8	4	1	3	+1	13
3	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	Preston	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Sheffield United	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Stoke	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Swansea	7	3	2	2	-2	11
9	Sunderland	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Blackpool	8	2	3	3	-4	9
12	Blackburn	8	3	0	5	-5	9
13	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	West Brom	7	1	4	2	+0	7
15	Watford	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Cardiff	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Coventry	8	1	4	3	-4	7
18	Reading	6	2	0	4	-8	6
19	Bristol City	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Millwall	7	1	2	4	-6	5
21	Rotherham	5	0	3	2	-6	3
22	Hull	6	0	2	4	-10	2
23	Middlesbrough	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Huddersfield	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.