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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Lechia Gdansk
U T U T S
0–3
Full-time
Rakow
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 43%
18%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
73%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
55%
25%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 17. · Rakow 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 12 8 2 2 +11 26
2 Wisla Plock 13 7 3 3 +11 24
3 Legia 13 7 3 3 +1 24
4 Stal Mielec 13 7 1 5 +1 22
5 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Widzew Lodz 12 6 2 4 +5 20
7 Lech Poznan 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Jagiellonia 12 4 5 3 +6 17
9 Cracovia 12 5 2 5 +4 17
10 Zaglebie 12 4 5 3 -2 17
11 Radomiak Radom 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Slask Wroclaw 13 4 4 5 -5 16
13 Warta Poznan 12 4 2 6 -3 14
14 Gornik Zabrze 11 3 4 4 -3 13
15 Korona Kielce 13 3 3 7 -6 12
16 Piast Gliwice 12 3 2 7 -3 11
17 Lechia Gdansk 11 2 2 7 -11 8
18 Legnica 11 1 2 8 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Rakow
6′
P. Kun 0–1
21′
B. Nowak 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ J. Kałuziński
46′
Conrado 🔁
↦ C. Clemens
46′
46′
🔁 V. Gutkovskis
↦ F. Piasecki
47′
M. Wdowiak 0–3
S. Svarnas
Henrik Castegren 🟨
53′
L. Zwoliński 🔁
↦ Flávio Paixão
60′
64′
🟨 Fran Tudor
64′
🟨 Giannis Papanikolaou
67′
🔁 T. Petrášek
↦ D. Sorescu
68′
🔁 D. Szelągowski
↦ M. Wdowiak
D. Stec 🔁
↦ H. Castegren
69′
79′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ V. Kochergin
K. Sezonienko 🔁
↦ İ. Durmuş
83′
83′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ F. Tudor
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-2-3-1
12 D. Kuciak G
3 H. Castegren D
25 M. Nalepa D
97 J. Abu Hanna D
2 R. Pietrzak D
6 J. Kubicki M
88 J. Kałuziński M
17 C. Clemens M
7 M. Gajos M
99 İ. Durmuş M
28 Flávio Paixão F
Bench (9)
33 M. Terrazzino
20 Conrado
9 L. Zwoliński
29 D. Stec
79 K. Sezonienko
23 M. Maloča
10 B. Diabaté
77 T. Neugebauer
1 M. Buchalik

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
7 F. Tudor D
24 Z. Arsenić D
4 S. Svarnas D
22 D. Sorescu M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kochergin M
23 P. Kun M
17 M. Wdowiak F
27 B. Nowak F
99 F. Piasecki F
Bench (9)
21 V. Gutkovskis
2 T. Petrášek
14 D. Szelągowski
8 B. Lederman
71 W. Długosz
12 K. Trelowski
5 G. Berggren
25 B. Racovițan
9 S. Musiolik

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.