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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
Atromitos
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
14%
79%
Points per game
0,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 13. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 12 1 1 +24 37
2 AEK 15 12 1 2 +15 37
3 PAOK 14 11 2 1 +21 35
4 Levadeiakos 15 7 5 3 +17 26
5 Volos NFC 14 7 1 6 -2 22
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 5 3 +5 20
7 Panetolikos 15 5 3 7 -7 18
8 Kifisia 15 4 5 6 -2 17
9 Aris Thessalonikis 13 4 4 5 -4 16
10 Aris 13 4 4 5 -4 16
11 OFI Crete 14 5 0 9 -8 15
12 Asteras Tripolis 15 2 8 5 -3 14
13 Atromitos 14 2 3 9 -9 9
14 Larisa 15 1 5 9 -15 8
15 Panserraikos 15 1 3 11 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos PAOK
1–0 D. Stavropoulos
P. Michorl
17′
37′
🟨 Kiril Despodov
39′
ℹ️ Kiril Despodov
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 1–0
Theocharis Tsingaras 🟨
47′
Samuel Moutoussamy 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 A. R. Baba
↦ G. Taylor
63′
🔁 M. Ozdoev
↦ A. Bianco
63′
🔁 A. Mythou
↦ F. Chalov
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ P. Tsantilas
74′
A. Garcia 🔁
↦ P. Michorl
74′
75′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ S. Meite
80′
🔁 L. Ivanusec
↦ K. Despodov
Dimitrios Stavropoulos 🟨
81′
A. Karamanis 🔁
↦ D. Jubitana
86′
2–0 T. van Weert
90′
G. Tzovaras 🔁
↦ M. Baku
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-4-1-1
1 L. Choutetsiotis G
17 Quini D
4 D. Stavropoulos D
70 Mansur D
21 J. Uronen D
11 D. Jubitana M
92 S. Moutoussamy M
5 T. Tsingaras M
32 M. Baku M
8 P. Michorl F
19 P. Tsantilas
Bench (12)
30 V. Athanasiou
55 A. Koselev
6 A. Karamanis
7 O. Ozegovic
9 T. van Weert
10 B. Palmezano
12 M. Mountes
16 G. Papadopoulos
20 S. Ampartzidis
26 A. Garcia
33 K. Batos
99 G. Tzovaras

Coach: Dusan Kerkez

PAOK

4-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
3 J. Kenny D
16 T. Kedziora D
4 A. Vogliacco D
32 G. Taylor D
77 K. Despodov M
22 A. Bianco M
8 S. Meite M
11 Taison M
65 G. Konstantelias F
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (11)
99 A. Tsiftsis
88 L. Gugeshashvili
33 D. Tsopouroglou
25 K. Thymianis
21 A. R. Baba
27 M. Ozdoev
2 M. Camara
18 L. Ivanusec
39 D. Berdos
52 D. Chatsidis
56 A. Mythou

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,71
U
4,25
B
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.