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Super League
Referee: S Zabalas
Atromitos
T T U U U
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atromitos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Super League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atromitos 9. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 AEK 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 PAOK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Aris 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 OFI Crete 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Lamia 3 1 1 1 -2 4
9 Atromitos 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 Panetolikos 3 1 0 2 +0 3
11 Panathinaikos 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Volos NFC 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Athens Kallithea 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Levadeiakos 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 Panserraikos 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atromitos PAOK
Makana Baku 🟨
43′
45′
A. Živković 0–1
Half-time 0–1
G. Vrakas 🔁
↦ Carlitos
65′
T. van Weert 🔁
↦ Eder González
65′
69′
🟨 Abdul Rahman Baba
69′
ℹ️ Andrija Živković
VAR: Goal cancelled
72′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ M. Ozdoev
73′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ F. Chalov
73′
🔁 T. Murg
↦ S. Shoretire
D. Jubitana 🔁
↦ M. Baku
74′
Ismahila Ouédraogo 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Andrija Živković
1–1 Amr Warda
85′
86′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ G. Konstantelias
Denzel Jubitana 🟨
89′
90′
M. Camara 1–2
K. Despodov
Amr Warda 🟨
93′
95′
🟨 Tarik Tissoudali
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Atromitos

4-4-1-1
55 A. Koşelev G
12 M. Mountes D
31 F. Brorsson D
44 D. Tsakmakis D
3 N. Athanasiou D
32 M. Baku M
6 Eder González M
18 I. Ouédraogo M
7 Amr Warda M
8 P. Michorl F
10 Carlitos F
Bench (9)
29 G. Vrakas
9 T. van Weert
11 D. Jubitana
66 T. Karamanis
14 D. Kaloskamis
1 L. Choutesiotis
27 K. Pomonis
59 M. Stamatoulas
4 D. Stavropoulos

Coach: P. García

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
47 S. Shoretire M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (9)
2 M. Camara
34 T. Tissoudali
10 T. Murg
77 K. Despodov
99 A. Tsiftsis
25 K. Thymianis
20 Vieirinha
23 Joan Sastre
3 I. Näsberg

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,16
U
4,55
B ✓
1,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Zabalas · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.