Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Levadeiakos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK
|
33 | 22 | 9 | 2 | +38 | +13.7 | 75 |
| 2 |
Olympiakos
|
33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | +35 | +16.6 | 69 |
| 3 |
PAOK
|
33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | +36 | +4.2 | 67 |
| 4 |
Levadeiakos
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | +19 | -2.2 | 55 |
| 5 |
Panathinaikos
|
33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +16 | +2.9 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atromitos
|
37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | +0 | +0.0 | 44 |
| 7 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | -1 | +0.0 | 43 |
| 8 |
Aris
|
31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | -1 | – | 43 |
| 9 |
OFI Crete
|
35 | 13 | 3 | 19 | -13 | -8.9 | 42 |
| 10 |
Kifisia
|
37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | -13 | +1.5 | 39 |
| 11 |
Panetolikos
|
37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | -14 | -5.4 | 39 |
| 12 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -15 | -1.4 | 34 |
| 13 |
Larisa
|
37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -21 | -8.9 | 33 |
| 14 |
Volos NFC
|
35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -24 | -4.2 | 33 |
| 15 |
Panserraikos
|
37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -42 | -7.9 | 31 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Volos NFC
Aris
Aris
OFI Crete
OFI Crete
Aris
Aris
Volos NFC
Levadeiakos
Aris
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.