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Super League
Referee: P Koukoulas
Levadeiakos
U U T S S
3–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levadeiakos OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 33/34 matches
Win Ø 40%
42%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 51%
61%
41%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,38 xG 0,72
72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 9
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levadeiakos 5. · OFI Crete 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 AEK 32 22 8 2 +38 +14.0 74
2 PAOK 32 19 9 4 +36 +3.9 66
3 Olympiakos 32 19 9 4 +34 +14.7 66
4 Panathinaikos 32 15 10 7 +17 +4.8 55
5 Levadeiakos 33 14 10 9 +18 -3.9 52
6 Atromitos 36 11 11 14 +1 -0.5 44
7 Aris 31 10 13 8 -1 – 43
8 OFI Crete 34 13 3 18 -12 -7.3 42
9 Aris Thessalonikis 30 9 13 8 -2 -1.0 40
10 Kifisia 36 8 14 14 -13 +2.7 38
11 Panetolikos 36 10 8 18 -14 -5.7 38
12 Asteras Tripolis 36 7 12 17 -15 -2.6 33
13 Volos NFC 34 9 6 19 -23 -3.2 33
14 Larisa 36 5 15 16 -22 -8.4 30
15 Panserraikos 36 7 9 20 -42 -7.6 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levadeiakos OFI Crete
10′
⚽ A. Androutsos 0–1
Enis Çokaj 🟨
18′
23′
🟨 Zisis Karachalios
Panagiotis Liagas 🟨
25′
37′
⚽ E. Salcedo 0–2
L. Shengelia
43′
🟨 Zisis Karachalios
43′
🟥 Zisis Karachalios
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Eddie Salcedo
F. Pedrozo 🔁
↦ P. Symelidis
46′
46′
🔁 A. Leya Iseka
↦ E. Salcedo
Alen Ožbolt ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
65′
🟨 Thiago Nuss
O. Ozegovic 🔁
↦ E. Cokaj
65′
68′
🔁 G. Kanellopoulos
↦ T. Nuss
73′
🟨 Achilleas Poungouras
G. Manthatis 🔁
↦ T. Tsapras
76′
G. Nikas 🔁
↦ A. Ozbolt
76′
Georgios Manthatis 🟨
78′
K. Goumas 🔁
↦ B. Verbic
83′
Ognjen Ožegović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
90′
🟨 Nikolaos Christogeorgos
90′
🟨 Levan Shengelia
1–2 O. Ozegovic ⚽
90′
2–2 G. Nikas ⚽
G. Balzi
90′
3–2 F. Pedrozo ⚽
G. Manthatis
90′
91′
🔁 V. Lampropoulos
↦ A. Poungouras
95′
🟨 Aaron Leya Iseka
98′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ I. Apostolakis
Fabricio Pedrozo 🟨
101′
102′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Levadeiakos

4-2-3-1
12 Y. Lodygin G
6 T. Tsapras D
24 P. Liagas D
37 G. Tsivelekidis D
3 P. Vichos D
23 E. Cokaj M
31 P. Symelidis M
34 S. Palacios M
11 G. Balzi M
77 B. Verbic M
9 A. Ozbolt F
Bench (10)
99 G. Sourdis
88 L. Anacker
45 O. Ozegovic
14 G. Manthatis
74 C. Papadopoulos
85 K. Goumas
15 F. Pedrozo
32 H. Magnusson
8 G. Nikas
5 G. Kornezos

Coach: Nikolaos Papadopoulos

OFI Crete

3-4-2-1
31 N. Christogeorgos G
5 K. Kostoulas D
15 A. Poungouras D
2 K. Krizmanic D
27 L. Shengelia M
6 Z. Karachalios M
14 A. Androutsos M
3 N. Athanasiou M
18 T. Nuss F
21 I. Apostolakis F
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
1 K. Lilo
11 T. Fountas
10 J. Neira
25 F. Bainovic
7 G. Kanellopoulos
46 I. Theodosoulakis
30 T. Romano
4 N. Marinakis
24 V. Lampropoulos
99 A. Leya Iseka
90 P. Kenourgiakis

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,89
B
4,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.