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Süper Lig
Referee: Omer Faruk Turtay
Rizespor
T S T U S
0–2
Full-time
Samsunspor
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
6,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,85 xG 0,33
60% Possession 40%
28 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 5. · Samsunspor 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +4 +4.9 4
2 Amedspor 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.3 3
3 Buyuksehyr 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
4 Genclerbirligi 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.7 3
5 Rizespor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.9 3
6 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
7 Samsunspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
8 Goztep 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
9 Corum 1 0 1 0 +0 -2.3 1
10 Kasimpasa 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.0 1
11 Trabzonspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
12 Gaziantep 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
13 Alanyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.0 1
14 Fenerbahce 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.7 0
15 Konyaspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
16 Eyüpspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
17 Kocaelispor 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
18 Erzurumspor 2 0 0 2 -7 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Samsunspor
27′
🟨 Logi Tomasson
33′
J. Mendes 0–1
S. Jarju
Half-time 0–2
63′
F. Kaya 0–2
S. Jarju
65′
🔁 S. Onur
↦ Y. Kayan
D. Varesanovic 🔁
↦ I. Olawoyin
67′
E. Bulut 🔁
↦ A. Mebude
67′
M. C. Tosun 🔁
↦ T. Antalyali
80′
T. T. Sanuc 🔁
↦ Z. Ariss
81′
Modibo Sagnan 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 T. Bulbul
↦ S. Jarju
M. Faye 🔁
↦ M. Sagnan
88′
91′
🔁 A. Sekongo
↦ F. Kaya
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
75 Y. Fofana G
54 M. Pala D
4 A. Mocsi D
93 M. Sagnan D
17 Z. Ariss D
10 I. Olawoyin M
14 T. Antalyali M
11 A. Mebude M
20 Q. Laci M
23 A. Kutucu M
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
30 Z. Gorgen
5 T. T. Sanuc
37 T. Sahin
21 S. Bakayoko
19 U. Erdem
47 E. Yilmaz
8 D. Varesanovic
22 M. Faye
99 E. Bulut
80 M. C. Tosun

Coach: Recep Ucar

Samsunspor

4-3-3
1 O. Kocuk G
2 J. Mendes D
24 T. Borevkovic D
6 A. B. Diabbate D
17 L. Tomasson D
4 E. Watt M
5 C. Yuksel M
20 Y. Kayan M
30 S. Jarju F
14 F. Kaya F
11 E. Kilinc F
Bench (9)
25 B. Bayazit
13 E. Ustun
34 G. Guarino
72 M. Tan
23 E. Albak
8 S. Onur
21 E. Degirmenci
42 A. Sekongo
70 T. Bulbul

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,26
B ✓
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.