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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Rizespor
U S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Samsunspor
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 20%
40%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
2,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,46 xG 0,91
64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rizespor 14. · Samsunspor 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 6 6 0 0 +15 +5.0 18
2 Fenerbahce 6 4 1 1 +9 +8.3 13
3 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 +6 +4.6 10
4 Buyuksehyr 5 3 1 1 +4 +0.0 10
5 Eyüpspor 5 2 3 0 +4 +1.4 9
6 Samsunspor 5 3 0 2 +3 +3.5 9
7 Konyaspor 6 2 2 2 -1 -0.4 8
8 Sivasspor 6 2 2 2 -1 -4.7 8
9 Antalyaspor 5 2 1 2 -3 -4.0 7
10 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +2 -1.4 6
11 Bodrumspor 6 2 0 4 -4 +0.4 6
12 Kasimpasa 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.1 5
13 Trabzonspor 4 0 4 0 +0 -1.0 4
14 Rizespor 5 1 1 3 -10 -2.7 4
15 Kayserispor 4 0 3 1 -1 -1.0 3
16 Gaziantep 4 1 0 3 -3 -1.1 3
17 Alanyaspor 5 0 3 2 -5 +0.7 3
18 Hatayspor 6 0 2 4 -6 -6.1 2
19 Ad. Demirspor 5 0 1 4 -7 -1.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Samsunspor
Casper Højer 🟨
3′
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ O. Ntcham 0–1
Z. Yavru
E. Bulut 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
57′
D. Varešanović 🔁
↦ A. Hadžiahmetović
57′
Emrecan Bulut 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 K. Schindler
↦ C. Holse
62′
🔁 E. Kılınç
↦ A. Muja
R. Ghezzal 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
72′
V. Jurečka 🔁
↦ A. Sowe
73′
78′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ M. Mouandilmadji
84′
🟨 Okan Kocuk
87′
🟨 Olivier Ntcham
93′
🔁 S. Aydoğdu
↦ O. Ntcham
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
30 I. Grbić G
37 T. Şahin D
4 A. Mocsi D
16 A. Yaşar D
5 C. Højer D
20 A. Hadžiahmetović M
6 G. Papanikolaou M
28 D. Akintola M
10 I. Olawoyin M
77 A. Zeqiri M
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
17 E. Bulut
8 D. Varešanović
19 R. Ghezzal
15 V. Jurečka
2 H. Aliqulov
54 M. Pala
3 İ. Pehlivan
27 E. Korkmaz
1 T. Çetin
45 A. Karapo

Coach: İ. Palut

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
18 Z. Yavru D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
4 R. van Drongelen D
16 M. Bola D
6 Y. Bennasser M
5 C. Yüksel M
21 C. Holse M
10 O. Ntcham M
7 A. Muja M
9 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (10)
17 K. Schindler
11 E. Kılınç
29 E. Kara
8 S. Aydoğdu
14 L. Dimata
28 S. Gönül
13 F. Tait
27 G. Laura
45 H. Yeral
96 B. Çetin

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U
3,36
B ✓
2,91
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.