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Süper Lig

Referee: M Erdoğan

Samsunspor

S U T S U

3–0

Full-time

Rizespor

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

38%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 0,76

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 12. · Rizespor 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	22	3	1	+41	+35.0	69
2	Fenerbahce	26	21	4	1	+47	+46.2	67
3	Trabzonspor	26	13	4	9	+9	+0.3	43
4	Besiktas	26	13	4	9	+6	+9.6	43
5	Kasimpasa	26	11	6	9	-1	-7.8	39
6	Rizespor	26	10	6	10	-9	-5.0	36
7	Antalyaspor	26	8	11	7	+2	+2.0	35
8	Kayserispor	26	9	8	9	-4	-7.4	35
9	Sivasspor	26	8	10	8	-6	-6.0	34
10	Buyuksehyr	26	9	6	11	+0	-0.7	33
11	Ad. Demirspor	26	7	11	8	+4	-0.9	32
12	Samsunspor	26	8	6	12	-6	+2.6	30
13	Ankaragücü	26	6	11	9	-2	-5.1	29
14	Hatayspor	26	6	11	9	-3	-1.1	29
15	Alanyaspor	26	6	11	9	-8	+0.1	29
16	Karagumruk	26	7	7	12	+1	-8.2	28
17	Gaziantep	26	7	7	12	-7	-10.1	28
18	Pendikspor	26	6	8	12	-20	-10.0	26
19	Konyaspor	26	5	10	11	-15	-14.0	25
20	İstanbulspor	26	3	6	17	-29	-19.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	13	0	0	+23	+23.5	39
2	Fenerbahce	13	9	3	1	+23	+24.8	30
3	Rizespor	14	8	3	3	+5	+4.0	27
4	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+9	+6.7	26
5	Ad. Demirspor	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
6	Samsunspor	13	7	2	4	+5	+3.6	23
7	Karagumruk	13	6	4	3	+12	-0.1	22
8	Trabzonspor	12	7	1	4	+3	+1.9	22
9	Antalyaspor	14	5	7	2	+2	+0.6	22
10	Kasimpasa	13	6	3	4	+0	-4.2	21
11	Buyuksehyr	13	6	2	5	+5	+0.6	20
12	Kayserispor	13	5	5	3	+4	+2.2	20
13	Hatayspor	13	4	7	2	+4	-0.3	19
14	Alanyaspor	13	4	6	3	+1	+3.4	18
15	Ankaragücü	14	4	6	4	+0	+1.3	18
16	Sivasspor	12	3	7	2	+0	+1.3	16
17	Konyaspor	12	4	3	5	+1	-0.5	15
18	Pendikspor	13	4	3	6	-8	-6.9	15
19	Gaziantep	13	3	5	5	-4	-6.4	14
20	İstanbulspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	12	1	0	+24	+21.4	37
2	Galatasaray	13	9	3	1	+18	+11.5	30
3	Trabzonspor	14	6	3	5	+6	-1.6	21
4	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.6	18
5	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-6	-7.3	18
6	Besiktas	13	5	2	6	-3	+2.9	17
7	Kayserispor	13	4	3	6	-8	-9.6	15
8	Gaziantep	13	4	2	7	-3	-3.7	14
9	Antalyaspor	12	3	4	5	+0	+1.4	13
10	Buyuksehyr	13	3	4	6	-5	-1.3	13
11	Ankaragücü	12	2	5	5	-2	-6.4	11
12	Alanyaspor	13	2	5	6	-9	-3.2	11
13	Pendikspor	13	2	5	6	-12	-3.1	11
14	Hatayspor	13	2	4	7	-7	-0.8	10
15	Konyaspor	14	1	7	6	-16	-13.5	10
16	Rizespor	12	2	3	7	-14	-8.9	9
17	Ad. Demirspor	13	0	8	5	-7	-5.7	8
18	Samsunspor	13	1	4	8	-11	-1.0	7
19	Karagumruk	13	1	3	9	-11	-8.1	6
20	İstanbulspor	13	1	3	9	-15	-8.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.