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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Harald Vollstad Sletner

Lillestrom

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Mjondalen

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Mjondalen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,3

4,2

Scored

3,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

77%

14%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

68%

64%

Both score Ø 57%

45%

68%

Average goals

3,1

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Mjondalen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	22	17	5	0	+42	56
2	Start	22	12	5	5	+17	41
3	Aalesund	20	9	8	3	+11	35
4	Lyn	22	10	5	7	+10	35
5	Sogndal	22	10	5	7	+3	35
6	Kongsvinger	21	9	7	5	+8	34
7	Egersund	20	8	6	6	+0	30
8	Ranheim	21	8	5	8	-6	29
9	hodd	22	7	6	9	-9	27
10	Raufoss	22	6	8	8	-1	26
11	Moss	22	7	5	10	-10	26
12	Asane	22	6	7	9	-8	25
13	Odd	22	6	6	10	-4	24
14	Stabaek	22	3	9	10	-12	18
15	Mjondalen	22	3	6	13	-25	15
16	Skeid	22	1	9	12	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	8	2	0	+17	26
2	Aalesund	10	6	4	0	+15	22
3	Moss	11	7	1	3	+7	22
4	Start	11	6	1	4	+8	19
5	Kongsvinger	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Odd	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Sogndal	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Ranheim	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Raufoss	12	4	4	4	+2	16
10	Asane	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	hodd	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Lyn	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Egersund	10	3	4	3	-6	13
14	Stabaek	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Mjondalen	11	1	4	6	-13	7
16	Skeid	11	0	5	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	12	9	3	0	+25	30
2	Lyn	11	7	1	3	+12	22
3	Start	11	6	4	1	+9	22
4	Egersund	10	5	2	3	+6	17
5	Sogndal	11	5	2	4	+2	17
6	Kongsvinger	11	4	4	3	+2	16
7	Aalesund	10	3	4	3	-4	13
8	hodd	12	3	4	5	-8	13
9	Ranheim	9	3	2	4	-5	11
10	Raufoss	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Asane	11	2	3	6	-8	9
12	Stabaek	11	1	5	5	-9	8
13	Mjondalen	11	2	2	7	-12	8
14	Skeid	11	1	4	6	-4	7
15	Odd	11	1	3	7	-8	6
16	Moss	11	0	4	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.