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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
For Sittard
U T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Utrecht
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,16 xG 0,96
36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 11
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 10. · Utrecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 5 5 0 0 +10 +7.2 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +9 +3.0 12
3 Groningen 6 4 0 2 +3 +0.2 12
4 Ajax 5 3 2 0 +6 +6.7 11
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 1 0 +5 +4.3 10
6 Nijmegen 5 3 0 2 +8 +7.2 9
7 Utrecht 5 3 0 2 +7 +1.5 9
8 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 -8 -4.7 9
9 Twente 6 2 1 3 +1 +4.3 7
10 For Sittard 5 2 1 2 +0 -3.1 7
11 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 3 1 +0 -2.1 6
12 Zwolle 4 2 0 2 -1 -1.0 6
13 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 -8 -5.3 6
14 Volendam 6 0 4 2 -4 -4.8 4
15 NAC Breda 5 1 1 3 -5 -7.1 4
16 Telstar 6 1 1 4 -6 -1.2 4
17 Heerenveen 5 0 2 3 -3 +4.3 2
18 Heracles 5 0 0 5 -14 -9.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,64
U
3,64
B
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.