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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Karol Arys
1–0
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
75%
17%
Both score Ø 61%
88%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 13. · Piast Gliwice 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Cracovia 8 5 2 1 +7 +2.5 17
2 Wisla Plock 8 5 1 2 +5 +6.2 16
3 Jagiellonia 7 5 1 1 +4 -2.5 16
4 Gornik Zabrze 8 5 0 3 +6 -0.2 15
5 Korona Kielce 8 4 2 2 +4 -2.1 14
6 Legia 6 3 1 2 +5 +3.6 10
7 Widzew Lodz 8 3 1 4 +2 +2.2 10
8 Lech Poznan 6 3 1 2 -1 +6.0 10
9 Pogon Szczecin 8 3 1 4 -3 +2.0 10
10 Zaglebie 7 2 3 2 +3 -1.8 9
11 Nieciecza 8 2 3 3 +0 -0.2 9
12 Motor Lublin 7 2 3 2 -3 -1.0 9
13 Radomiak Radom 8 2 2 4 -2 -0.1 8
14 Lechia Gdansk 8 2 2 4 -5 -2.9 8
15 Arka Gdynia 8 2 2 4 -5 -3.8 8
16 GKS Katowice 9 2 1 6 -10 -6.8 7
17 Rakow 6 2 0 4 -4 -0.3 6
18 Piast Gliwice 6 0 4 2 -3 -0.7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Piast Gliwice
33′
🟨 Ema Twumasi
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Pitan
↦ J. Czerwinski
1–0 E. Balde
V. Lopes
47′
A. Tapsoba 🔁
↦ E. Balde
61′
65′
🔁 J. Lokilo
↦ M. Chrapek
66′
🔁 G. Barkovskiy
↦ O. Lesniak
R. Alves 🔁
↦ R. Baro
68′
Capita 🔁
↦ V. Lopes
68′
76′
🔁 H. Vallejo
↦ L. Sanca
M. Kaput 🔁
↦ I. Camara
77′
Zie Ouattara 🔁
↦ R. Wolski
77′
86′
🔁 S. Mucha
↦ J. Felix
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

4-4-1-1
1 F. Majchrowicz G
13 J. Grzesik D
74 S. Kingue D
26 A. Dieguez D
20 Joao Pedro D
7 V. Lopes M
6 R. Baro M
2 I. Camara M
21 E. Balde M
27 R. Wolski F
25 Maurides F
Bench (11)
44 W. Koptas
75 M. Jerke
5 J. Blasco
16 M. Cichocki
28 M. Kaput
10 R. Alves
9 Leandro
99 Guilherme
11 Capita
15 A. Tapsoba
24 Zie Ouattara

Coach: João Alexandre Oliveira Nunes Henriques

Piast Gliwice

4-3-3
26 F. Plach G
55 E. Twumasi D
4 J. Czerwinski D
5 Juande D
31 O. Lesniak D
7 J. Felix M
20 G. Tomasiewicz M
6 M. Chrapek M
77 E. Jirka F
9 A. Dalmau F
11 L. Sanca F
Bench (11)
33 K. Szymanski
79 D. Rychta
28 F. Borowski
36 J. Lewicki
15 L. Pitan
22 T. Mokwa
98 J. Lokilo
19 K. Lubowiecki
23 S. Mucha
80 H. Vallejo
63 G. Barkovskiy

Coach: Max Mölder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Karol Arys · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.