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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Marius Lien
Lillestrom
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Start
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
3,0
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 67%
72%
61%
Points per game
2,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
2,3
2,1
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Start 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 18 13 5 0 +32 44
2 Start 18 11 4 3 +19 37
3 Aalesund 17 7 8 2 +6 29
4 Sogndal 18 8 4 6 +4 28
5 Lyn 18 8 3 7 +8 27
6 Egersund 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Kongsvinger 17 6 6 5 +5 24
8 Ranheim 17 7 3 7 -3 24
9 Raufoss 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Odd 18 6 4 8 -2 22
11 hodd 18 6 4 8 -8 22
12 Moss 18 6 3 9 -10 21
13 Asane 18 5 5 8 -7 20
14 Stabaek 18 3 6 9 -11 15
15 Mjondalen 18 3 5 10 -21 14
16 Skeid 18 1 7 10 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Start
7′
🔁 L. Gausdal
↦ M. Ugland
Half-time 0–0
Y. Paintsil 🔁
↦ L. Alperud
60′
1–0 E. Kitolano
M. Karlsbakk
61′
2–0 K. Tonnesen
V. Hoff
68′
70′
🔁 D. Dashaev
↦ S. Sjokvist
70′
🔁 A. Adebayo
↦ H. Lorentzen
71′
🟨 D. Dashaev
81′
🔁 E. Gono
↦ S. Mvoue
E. Larsson 🔁
↦ K. Tonnesen
86′
H. Woxen 🔁
↦ M. Karlsbakk
86′
3–0 V. Hoff
H. Woxen
89′
M. Diop 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
91′
M. Waehler 🔁
↦ S. Drammeh
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
19 K. Tonnesen
6 V. Hoff
4 E. B. Garnas
28 R. Gabrielsen
8 M. Karlsbakk
17 E. Kitolano
10 T. Olsen
7 L. Alperud
15 S. Drammeh
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
30 L. Svenningsen
64 E. Larsson
5 S. Foss
23 G. Asen
32 H. Woxen
33 M. Diop
26 Y. Paintsil
27 M. Waehler

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Start

1 J. Larsen
4 S. Hansen
16 T. Strannegard
3 A. Ujkani
6 J. Norheim
21 S. Sjokvist
10 S. Mvoue
18 M. Ugland
11 E. Schulze
20 H. Lorentzen
14 M. Soomets
Bench (9)
24 S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
19 D. Dashaev
5 O. Jebali
13 S. Griesbeck
17 B. Sundo
22 A. E. Nilsen
30 L. Gausdal
9 A. Adebayo
29 E. Gono

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.