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Serie B
Referee: Luca Massimi
Spezia
T U T U U
1–3
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
0,7
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 25
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 16. · Juve Stabia 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Frosinone 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Modena 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Cesena 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Carrarese 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Venezia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Virtus Entella 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Sudtirol 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Reggiana 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Empoli 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Monza 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Avellino 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Catanzaro 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Juve Stabia 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Mantova 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Spezia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Pescara 3 0 1 2 -3 1
18 Padova 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Bari 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Juve Stabia
2′
O. Correia 0–1
A. Gabrielloni
19′
L. Carissoni 0–2
F. Maistro
45′
🟨 Christian Pierobon
Half-time 0–2
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ G. Artistico
46′
R. Kouda 🔁
↦ F. Cassata
46′
56′
🔁 R. Burnete
↦ A. Gabrielloni
56′
🔁 L. Candellone
↦ F. Maistro
V. Vlahovic 🔁
↦ G. Di Serio
58′
1–2 E. Soleri
S. Esposito
59′
61′
L. Candellone 1–3
R. Burnete
64′
🟨 Omar Correia
65′
🔁 G. Stabile
↦ M. Varnier
G. Aurelio 🔁
↦ P. Beruatto
70′
G. Lapadula 🔁
↦ P. Hristov
72′
79′
🟨 Marco Ruggero
83′
🔁 N. Mosti
↦ C. Pierobon
83′
🔁 F. Zuccon
↦ O. Correia
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Spezia

5-3-2
12 D. Mascardi G
23 A. Candela D
2 P. Wisniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Mateju D
11 P. Beruatto D
5 S. Esposito M
8 A. Nagy M
29 F. Cassata M
9 G. Artistico F
20 G. Di Serio F
Bench (12)
1 M. Sarr
16 L. Loria
6 Fellipe Jack
10 G. Lapadula
14 S. Zurkowski
15 A. Cistana
27 E. Soleri
31 G. Aurelio
32 L. Vignali
34 C. Comotto
80 R. Kouda
99 V. Vlahovic

Coach: Luca D'Angelo

Juve Stabia

3-5-1-1
1 A. Confente G
4 M. Ruggero D
13 M. Varnier D
33 A. Giorgini D
24 L. Carissoni M
29 O. Correia M
55 G. Leone M
10 C. Pierobon M
11 K. Piscopo M
37 F. Maistro F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
23 P. Boer
15 M. Baldi
3 F. Reale
77 A. Cacciamani
98 N. Mosti
7 R. Burnete
20 E. Duca
45 F. Zuccon
21 G. De Pieri
27 L. Candellone
19 G. Stabile
76 M. Mannini

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,13
B ✓
4,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca Massimi · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
33,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.