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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Mathias Støfringshaug
Moss
T S U T T
3–1
Full-time
Mjondalen
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,7
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
30%
15%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
75%
65%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Mjondalen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 20 15 5 0 +36 50
2 Start 21 12 5 4 +18 41
3 Sogndal 20 10 4 6 +7 34
4 Aalesund 19 8 8 3 +10 32
5 Lyn 20 9 4 7 +9 31
6 Kongsvinger 19 8 6 5 +7 30
7 Egersund 19 8 5 6 +0 29
8 Ranheim 19 7 4 8 -9 25
9 Asane 20 6 6 8 -5 24
10 hodd 20 6 6 8 -8 24
11 Raufoss 20 5 8 7 -2 23
12 Odd 20 6 5 9 -3 23
13 Moss 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Stabaek 21 3 8 10 -12 17
15 Mjondalen 20 3 6 11 -22 15
16 Skeid 20 1 8 11 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Mjondalen
K. Harrison 🟨
18′
19′
J. Bruusgaard 0–1
1–1 S. Gronli
N. Fuglestad
30′
S. Gronli 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 F. Godwin
58′
🟨 L. Oy
2–1 T. Jakobsen
59′
60′
🔁 O. Midtgard
↦ K. Arierhi
61′
🟨 O. Midtgard
L. Rossi 🔁
↦ A. Memedov
67′
67′
🔁 N. Arsbog
↦ E. Midtgarden
67′
🔁 K. Kekeli
↦ L. Reutersward
3–1 N. Fuglestad
L. Rossi
68′
K. Strande 🟨
71′
A. van der Spa 🔁
↦ K. Harrison
82′
H. Vold Krohg 🔁
↦ J. Musbaudeen
82′
82′
🔁 E. Willumsen
↦ F. Godwin
82′
🔁 K. Bata
↦ J. Bruusgaard
87′
🟨 A. Molund
E. Race 🔁
↦ S. Gronli
89′
H. Vold Krohg 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
2 M. Cassidy
23 J. Barros
9 J. Musbaudeen
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
21 S. Gronli
17 P. Andersen
11 T. Jakobsen
34 N. Fuglestad
19 A. Memedov
Bench (9)
30 M. Skott-Grande
5 E. Race
6 A. van der Spa
8 H. Vold Krohg
15 A. A. Engesvik
16 S. Hoydal
24 M. Welinder
46 W. Kvale
47 L. Rossi

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Mjondalen

87 L. Oy
5 E. Midtgarden
15 F. Kvam
6 J. Skau
10 K. Saetherbo
2 I. Vik
16 F. Godwin
3 A. Molund
11 J. Bruusgaard
20 K. Arierhi
7 L. Reutersward
Bench (8)
13 P. S. Bro
8 E. Willumsen
14 O. Midtgard
17 K. Bata
18 N. Arsbog
25 T. Ogboji
27 K. Kekeli
34 L. Ween

Coach: Kevin Andrew Nicol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.