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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Steinar Hauge

Lillestrom

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Skeid

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Skeid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

3,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,2

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

65%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

40%

85%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Skeid 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	20	15	5	0	+36	50
2	Start	21	12	5	4	+18	41
3	Sogndal	20	10	4	6	+7	34
4	Aalesund	19	8	8	3	+10	32
5	Lyn	20	9	4	7	+9	31
6	Kongsvinger	19	8	6	5	+7	30
7	Egersund	19	8	5	6	+0	29
8	Ranheim	19	7	4	8	-9	25
9	Asane	20	6	6	8	-5	24
10	hodd	20	6	6	8	-8	24
11	Raufoss	20	5	8	7	-2	23
12	Odd	20	6	5	9	-3	23
13	Moss	20	6	4	10	-12	22
14	Stabaek	21	3	8	10	-12	17
15	Mjondalen	20	3	6	11	-22	15
16	Skeid	20	1	8	11	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Aalesund	10	6	4	0	+15	22
3	Start	10	6	1	3	+9	19
4	Moss	10	6	1	3	+5	19
5	Sogndal	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Odd	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Kongsvinger	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Raufoss	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Asane	10	4	3	3	+0	15
10	Ranheim	11	4	3	4	-4	15
11	hodd	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Lyn	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Egersund	9	3	3	3	-6	12
14	Stabaek	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Mjondalen	10	1	4	5	-12	7
16	Skeid	10	0	4	6	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	11	8	3	0	+21	27
2	Start	11	6	4	1	+9	22
3	Lyn	10	6	1	3	+11	19
4	Egersund	10	5	2	3	+6	17
5	Sogndal	10	5	1	4	+2	16
6	Kongsvinger	10	3	4	3	+1	13
7	Aalesund	9	2	4	3	-5	10
8	Ranheim	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	hodd	11	2	4	5	-9	10
10	Asane	10	2	3	5	-5	9
11	Mjondalen	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Skeid	10	1	4	5	-2	7
13	Raufoss	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Stabaek	10	1	4	5	-9	7
15	Odd	10	1	2	7	-8	5
16	Moss	10	0	3	7	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.