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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug
Sandefjord
T U T T T
0–3
Full-time
Brann
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 53%
45%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
60%
65%
Average goals
3,4
3,4
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,14 xG 2,43
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 8. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 21 15 3 3 +39 +33.8 48
2 Viking 21 14 4 3 +22 +18.7 46
3 Brann 20 12 4 4 +8 +16.4 40
4 Tromso 21 12 3 6 +7 +4.6 39
5 Rosenborg 20 9 6 5 +5 +6.8 33
6 Fredrikstad 21 8 7 6 +4 -1.4 31
7 Valerenga 21 9 3 9 +1 -3.6 30
8 Sandefjord 20 9 1 10 +7 -4.1 28
9 KFUM Oslo 21 7 7 7 +7 +6.1 28
10 Sarpsborg 08 21 7 7 7 +2 +12.9 28
11 Molde 21 8 3 10 +1 +1.0 27
12 Kristiansund 21 6 6 9 -18 -17.6 24
13 Bryne 22 5 6 11 -12 -4.1 21
14 Ham-Kam 21 5 6 10 -13 -14.1 21
15 Stromsgodset 21 5 1 15 -18 -21.8 16
16 Haugesund 21 1 3 17 -42 -33.6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Brann
13′
N. Castro 0–1
42′
🟨 Thore Baardsen Pedersen
Half-time 0–1
A. van der Spa 🔁
↦ R. Dzabic
46′
46′
🔁 D. De Roeve
↦ T. Pedersen
Martin Gjone ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
48′
Martin Gjone 🟥
49′
50′
🟨 Jacob Lungi Sørensen
56′
A. van der Spa 1–1
own goal
61′
🔁 N. Holm
↦ N. Castro
66′
E. Kornvig 1–2
D. De Roeve
E. Pettersen 🔁
↦ L. Mettler
71′
J. Hanstad 🔁
↦ J. Dunsby
71′
S. Mathisen 🔁
↦ S. I. Sigurdarson
71′
72′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ S. Magnusson
72′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ J. Sorensen
78′
🔁 M. Hansen
↦ U. Mathisen
B. Berntsen 🔁
↦ E. Patoulidis
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
13 C. Eriksson G
4 F. Pedersen
2 Z. Smajlovic D
22 M. Gjone
17 C. Cheng D
10 L. Mettler
18 F. Ottosson M
7 E. Patoulidis M
8 R. Dzabic M
27 J. Dunsby
23 S. I. Sigurdarson F
Bench (9)
30 E. Hadaya
28 T. Agelin
3 V. Egeli
5 A. van der Spa
14 E. Pettersen
19 B. Berntsen
21 J. Swift
9 J. Hanstad
24 S. Mathisen

Coach: Andreas Ulrik Tegström

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
20 V. Dragsnes D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
22 S. Magnusson F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
4 N. Boakye
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
12 T. Bramel
19 E. Gudmundsson
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande
29 N. Holm

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mathias Stofringshaug · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.