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Ligue 2

Referee: Mickael Leleu

Troyes

S U S T S

5–2

Full-time

Guingamp

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

0,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

43% Possession 57%

18 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

1 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 4. · Guingamp 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Pau FC	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Troyes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Amiens	6	2	3	1	+4	9
6	Clermont	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Annecy	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Reims	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Nancy	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Rodez	6	2	2	2	-3	8
11	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Laval	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Dunkerque	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Montpellier	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Le Mans	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Grenoble	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Boulogne	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Bastia	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Le Mans	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Boulogne	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Annecy	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Amiens	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Laval	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Amiens	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Annecy	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Pau FC	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Laval	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nancy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Rodez	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bastia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.