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Pro League

Referee: Michiel Allaerts

Charleroi

T U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Waregem

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/7 matches

Win Ø 40%

50%

29%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 66%

75%

57%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,79 xG 1,36

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 19

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 11

6 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Waregem 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+9	+9.6	11
2	St Truiden	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
3	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+6	+5.2	10
4	RAAL La Louviere	8	3	1	4	-2	-5.7	10
5	Gent	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
6	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+3	+3.2	9
7	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
8	Charleroi	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
9	Cercle Brugge	6	2	1	3	+1	+0.2	7
10	Waregem	7	2	1	4	-3	-3.6	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.2	6
12	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.2	5
13	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
14	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	0	3	-7	-2.0	3
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-8.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RAAL La Louviere	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.2	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.4	6
3	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.0	6
5	St Truiden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.4	6
6	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+2	+2.6	4
7	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
8	Cercle Brugge	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.9	4
9	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
10	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.1	4
11	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
12	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
13	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
14	Standard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.2	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.5	6
2	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
3	St. Gilloise	3	1	2	0	+1	+4.2	5
4	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
5	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.1	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
8	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
9	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
10	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.5	3
11	RAAL La Louviere	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.5	3
12	Westerlo	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.4	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
14	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Dender	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.