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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Anders Bodding
hodd
U U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Moss
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

hodd Moss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match hodd 9. · Moss 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 22 17 5 0 +42 56
2 Start 22 12 5 5 +17 41
3 Aalesund 20 9 8 3 +11 35
4 Lyn 22 10 5 7 +10 35
5 Sogndal 22 10 5 7 +3 35
6 Kongsvinger 21 9 7 5 +8 34
7 Egersund 20 8 6 6 +0 30
8 Ranheim 21 8 5 8 -6 29
9 hodd 22 7 6 9 -9 27
10 Raufoss 22 6 8 8 -1 26
11 Moss 22 7 5 10 -10 26
12 Asane 22 6 7 9 -8 25
13 Odd 22 6 6 10 -4 24
14 Stabaek 22 3 9 10 -12 18
15 Mjondalen 22 3 6 13 -25 15
16 Skeid 22 1 9 12 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

hodd Moss
1–0 S. Haugland
10′
M. Mulac 🟨
16′
39′
🟨 N. Fuglestad
Half-time 1–1
50′
L. Rossi 1–1
71′
🔁 A. A. Engesvik
↦ S. Gronli
71′
🔁 A. Memedov
↦ L. Rossi
V. H. Elveseter 🔁
↦ I. Skotheim
72′
A. Roppen 🔁
↦ M. Mikhail
72′
77′
🟨 K. Strande
M. Rawufu 🔁
↦ M. Scarcella
83′
D. Brandal 🔁
↦ J. Robertsen
83′
83′
🔁 E. Race
↦ K. Strande
83′
🔁 W. Kvale
↦ J. Barros
S. Haugland 🟨
86′
2–1 M. Rawufu
A. Roppen
90′
91′
🔁 M. Afonso
↦ H. Vold Krohg
S. Hanssen 🔁
↦ S. Haugland
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

hodd

1 O. Alme
24 J. Robertsen
14 M. Mikhail
17 T. Johansen
4 E. Blikstad
5 M. Mulac
7 M. Scarcella
6 H. Urnes
18 O. Visted
9 S. Haugland
10 I. Skotheim
Bench (9)
25 M. Ulla
2 N. Riise
3 S. Hanssen
11 M. Rawufu
15 V. H. Elveseter
19 M. Holte
21 A. Roppen
22 D. Brandal
34 M. Moltubakk

Coach: Marius Lenni Bøe

Moss

1 M. E. Eriksen
6 M. Lassen
23 J. Barros
8 H. Vold Krohg
3 K. Strande
4 K. Harrison
21 S. Gronli
17 P. Andersen
11 T. Jakobsen
34 N. Fuglestad
47 L. Rossi
Bench (7)
12 J. Sundling
2 M. Cassidy
5 E. Race
15 A. A. Engesvik
19 A. Memedov
46 W. Kvale
49 M. Afonso

Coach: Ole Martin Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.