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Premier League
Referee: T Harrington
West Ham
T T T S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
100%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
3,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,66 xG 2,31
57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Ham 18. · Crystal Palace 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 +6 +3.0 15
2 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 +8 +4.1 9
3 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 +7 +0.2 9
4 Bournemouth 4 3 0 1 +1 +2.5 9
5 Chelsea 4 2 2 0 +6 +4.1 8
6 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 +2 -1.1 7
7 Everton 5 2 1 2 +1 -0.0 7
8 Man City 4 2 0 2 +4 +3.0 6
9 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 +3 +2.2 6
10 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 +0 +2.3 5
11 Fulham 4 1 2 1 -1 -1.9 5
12 Brentford 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.5 4
13 Brighton 4 1 1 2 -2 +1.2 4
14 Man United 4 1 1 2 -3 +1.4 4
15 Nott'm Forest 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.2 4
16 Leeds 4 1 1 2 -5 -1.2 4
17 Burnley 4 1 0 3 -3 -6.1 3
18 West Ham 4 1 0 3 -7 -1.2 3
19 Aston Villa 4 0 2 2 -4 -4.3 2
20 Wolves 4 0 0 4 -7 -4.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Ham Crystal Palace
37′
J. Mateta 0–1
40′
🟨 Tyrick Mitchell
Half-time 0–1
Max Kilman 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 J. Devenny
↦ Y. Pino
1–1 J. Bowen
M. Diouf
49′
N. Fullkrug 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
59′
65′
🔁 J. Lerma
↦ W. Hughes
68′
T. Mitchell 1–2
Lucas Paquetá 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ A. Wharton
S. Magassa 🔁
↦ M. Fernandes
78′
Luis Guilherme 🔁
↦ C. Summerville
78′
El Hadji Malick Diouf 🟨
82′
91′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
93′
🟨 Dean Henderson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

West Ham

4-3-3
23 A. Areola G
2 K. Walker-Peters D
15 K. Mavropanos D
3 M. Kilman D
12 M. Diouf D
10 Lucas Paqueta M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
18 M. Fernandes M
20 J. Bowen F
9 C. Wilson F
7 C. Summerville F
Bench (9)
1 M. Hermansen
5 Igor
27 S. Magassa
17 Luis Guilherme
11 N. Fullkrug
24 G. Rodriguez
39 A. Irving
25 J. Todibo
30 O. Scarles

Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 M. Guehi D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
19 W. Hughes M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada F
10 Y. Pino F
14 J. Mateta F
Bench (9)
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
24 B. Sosa
23 J. Canvot
12 C. Uche
8 J. Lerma
9 E. Nketiah
55 J. Devenny
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U
3,36
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.