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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: Mischa Huru Kellerhals
Raufoss
T U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Raufoss Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
26%
74%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
79%
37%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Raufoss 9. · Lillestrom 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 19 14 5 0 +35 47
2 Start 19 11 4 4 +16 37
3 Aalesund 18 8 8 2 +12 32
4 Sogndal 19 9 4 6 +5 31
5 Lyn 19 8 4 7 +8 28
6 Egersund 18 8 4 6 +0 28
7 Kongsvinger 18 7 6 5 +6 27
8 Ranheim 18 7 3 8 -9 24
9 Raufoss 19 5 8 6 -1 23
10 Odd 19 6 5 8 -2 23
11 Asane 19 6 5 8 -5 23
12 hodd 19 6 5 8 -8 23
13 Moss 19 6 4 9 -10 22
14 Stabaek 19 3 6 10 -12 15
15 Mjondalen 19 3 5 11 -22 14
16 Skeid 19 1 8 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Raufoss Lillestrom
42′
T. Olsen 0–1
Half-time 0–2
53′
H. Woxen 0–2
K. Tonnesen
W. Osnes-Ringen 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 L. Alperud
↦ S. Drammeh
65′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ Y. Paintsil
E. Hustad 🔁
↦ J. Gonstad
67′
Y. Agyeman 🔁
↦ W. Osnes-Ringen
67′
K. Badjie 🔁
↦ M. Aanesland
76′
J. Lynum 🔁
↦ V. Fors
76′
79′
🔁 K. Krygard
↦ H. Woxen
79′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ T. Olsen
1–2 Y. Agyeman
E. Hustad
86′
N. Fremstad 🔁
↦ O. Sveen
87′
R. Bonde 🟨
92′
94′
🟨 L. Ranger
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Raufoss

1 A. Klemensson
22 V. Fors
3 R. Bonde
4 A. Hansen
15 K. Hay
17 S. Nordbo
16 O. Sveen
27 W. Osnes-Ringen
7 J. Gonstad
8 R. Nelson
24 M. Aanesland
Bench (9)
28 P. Jensen
5 O. Rotihaug
9 E. Hustad
10 K. Badjie
11 N. Fremstad
14 J. Lynum
21 Y. Agyeman
25 T. E. Engebakken
29 E. Sorum

Coach: Thomas William Dent

Lillestrom

12 M. Hedenstad
2 L. Ranger
19 K. Tonnesen
6 V. Hoff
28 R. Gabrielsen
4 E. B. Garnas
32 H. Woxen
17 E. Kitolano
10 T. Olsen
15 S. Drammeh
26 Y. Paintsil
Bench (9)
1 S. Hagerup
5 S. Foss
7 L. Alperud
8 M. Karlsbakk
11 F. Elkaer
18 K. Krygard
23 G. Asen
33 M. Diop
64 E. Larsson

Coach: Hans Erik Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 15 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.