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Serie B

Referee: Rosario Abisso

Monza

T T S U T

1–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Monza 13. · Sampdoria 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Modena	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Juve Stabia	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Venezia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Catanzaro	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Monza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Juve Stabia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Bari	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.