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Taça de Portugal

Paredes

S S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Chaves

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paredes Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
6	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
43	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
88	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
89	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
4	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
24	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
43	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Farense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
46	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
47	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.