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LaLiga2
Referee: Marta Huerta de Aza
1–3
Full-time
Castellon
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cultural Leonesa Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cultural Leonesa 17. · Castellon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 6 4 2 0 +11 14
2 Santander 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Valladolid 5 3 2 0 +6 +2.3 11
4 Cadiz 5 3 2 0 +3 11
5 Andorra 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Huesca 6 3 1 2 -2 10
7 Sp Gijon 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Burgos 5 2 2 1 +4 +3.1 8
9 Las Palmas 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +3 7
12 Leganes 5 1 4 0 +2 7
13 Mirandes 5 2 0 3 -2 6
14 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Almeria 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Cordoba 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Cultural Leonesa 5 1 1 3 -4 -3.1 4
18 Ceuta 5 1 1 3 -6 -2.3 4
19 Zaragoza 5 0 3 2 -3 3
20 Castellon 5 0 2 3 -4 2
21 Albacete 5 0 2 3 -5 2
22 Granada 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cultural Leonesa Castellon
8′
A. Calatrava 0–1
11′
Barri 0–2
T. Ribeiro 🔁
↦ Q. Fornos
13′
23′
🟨 Adam Jakobsen
33′
🟨 Lucas Alcazar
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Diego Barri
55′
🟨 Ronaldo
Thiago Ojeda 🟨
57′
57′
🔁 B. Gerenabarrena
↦ Ronaldo
57′
🔁 S. Ruiz
↦ Alcazar
P. Cortes 🔁
↦ M. Diallo Selu
61′
M. Justo 🔁
↦ Pibe
61′
J. Mboula 🔁
↦ R. Sobrino
61′
1–2 M. Justo
64′
66′
🔁 F. Brignani
↦ A. Sienra
67′
🔁 M. Doue
↦ Barri
78′
🔁 K. Mamah
↦ P. Santiago
82′
K. Mamah 1–3
A. Calatrava
Rodri Suárez 🟨
86′
J. Larios 🔁
↦ R. Hinojo
86′
Ivan Calero 🟥
89′
93′
🟨 Alberto Jiménez
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cultural Leonesa

4-3-1-2
13 E. Badia G
17 I. Calero D
4 Rodri Suarez D
5 Q. Fornos D
21 R. Hinojo D
28 T. Ojeda M
14 Bicho M
23 M. Diallo Selu M
10 L. Chacon M
22 Pibe F
19 R. Sobrino F
Bench (12)
11 P. Cortes
9 M. Justo
2 J. Mboula
18 D. Paraschiv
1 M. Banuz
16 T. Ribeiro
7 D. Collado
33 J. Larios
24 V. Garcia
8 Y. Gonzalez
26 A. Rafus
15 L. Ribeiro

Coach: Raúl Sáenz del Rincón

Castellon

4-2-3-1
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
5 A. Jimenez D
4 A. Sienra D
12 Alcazar D
8 Barri
25 Ronaldo
16 B. Cipenga M
21 A. Calatrava M
18 P. Santiago M
19 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (12)
1 A. Abedzadeh
3 F. Brignani
6 M. Doue
7 A. Mabil
10 I. Suero
14 O. Gil
15 B. Gerenabarrena
17 S. Ruiz
20 N. Markanich
23 K. Mamah
24 Serpeta
26 Tincho

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,50
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marta Huerta de Aza · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.