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Ligue 2

Referee: Thomas Leonard

St Etienne

U S S U S

3–2

Full-time

Reims

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Reims

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

60%

40%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 17

10 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

1 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 26

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Reims 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Troyes	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Pau FC	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Amiens	6	2	3	1	+4	9
6	Clermont	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Annecy	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Reims	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Nancy	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Rodez	6	2	2	2	-3	8
12	Laval	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Guingamp	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Dunkerque	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Le Mans	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Grenoble	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Boulogne	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Bastia	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Montpellier	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Dunkerque	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Le Mans	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Boulogne	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Annecy	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Amiens	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Laval	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Amiens	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Annecy	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Pau FC	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Laval	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nancy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Rodez	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bastia	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.