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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Mjondalen

S U U S T

2–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

1,4

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjondalen 9. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Odd	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valerenga	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Kristiansund	8	4	1	3	+0	13
6	Viking	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Brann	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Haugesund	7	2	2	3	+2	8
9	Mjondalen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Lillestrom	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Ranheim	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Stabaek	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Stromsgodset	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Rosenborg	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Tromso	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Odd	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Valerenga	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Viking	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Kristiansund	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Lillestrom	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Haugesund	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Rosenborg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Brann	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Mjondalen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Stromsgodset	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Ranheim	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	2	1	1	+2	7
2	Brann	4	2	0	2	+0	6
3	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	-3	6
4	Valerenga	5	1	2	2	-1	5
5	Odd	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Ranheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Viking	4	1	1	2	-2	4
9	Mjondalen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Haugesund	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Stromsgodset	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	1
16	Stabaek	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.