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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Lillestrom
T S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Mjondalen
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
44%
69%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Mjondalen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 17 11 3 3 +23 36
2 Bodo/Glimt 16 11 2 3 +13 35
3 Odd 17 10 3 4 +6 33
4 Brann 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Rosenborg 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Valerenga 16 7 4 5 +9 25
7 Kristiansund 16 6 5 5 +2 23
8 Haugesund 17 5 6 6 +5 21
9 Viking 16 5 4 7 -6 19
10 Lillestrom 16 5 3 8 -7 18
11 Ranheim 17 5 3 9 -11 18
12 Mjondalen 16 3 8 5 -4 17
13 Tromso 17 5 2 10 -16 17
14 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Sarpsborg 08 16 2 8 6 -5 14
16 Stromsgodset 17 3 4 10 -13 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Mjondalen
10′
Olivier Occean 0–1
Vetle Winger Dragsnes
1–1 Arnor Smarason
13′
30′
🟨 Joackim Solberg
2–1 Simen Kind Mikalsen
Arnor Smarason
36′
43′
🟨 Pontus Silfwer
Half-time 2–2
2–2 Joackim Solberg
own goal
48′
68′
🔁 William Sell
↦ Akeem Latifu
69′
Olivier Occean 2–3
Quint Jansen
69′
🔁 Quint Jansen
↦ Christian Gauseth
Sheriff Sinyan 🔁
↦ Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
80′
84′
🔁 Fredrik Brustad
↦ Sondre Liseth
88′
🟨 Stian Aasmundsen
Erik Brenden 🔁
↦ Arnor Smarason
89′
Frode Kippe 🔁
↦ Aleksander Melgalvis
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 Marko Maric G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
33 Aleksander Melgalvis M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken M
88 Arnor Smarason F
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
42 Philip Slordahl
15 Erik Brenden
19 Sheriff Sinyan
18 Moses Ebiye

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Mjondalen

4-3-3
12 Julian Faye Lund G
20 Akeem Latifu D
23 Sondre Solholm Johansen D
6 Joackim Solberg D
3 Vetle Winger Dragsnes D
33 Stian Aasmundsen M
11 Christian Gauseth M
19 Pontus Silfwer M
9 Sondre Liseth F
10 Olivier Occean F
7 Tonny Brochmann F
Bench (7)
1 Sosha Makani
2 Quint Jansen
5 Alexander Hansen
4 William Sell
30 Aristide Sagbakken
8 Fredrik Brustad
31 Jibril Bojang

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.