Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Bryne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +39 | +33.8 | 48 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | +22 | +18.7 | 46 |
| 3 |
Brann
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +8 | +16.4 | 40 |
| 4 |
Tromso
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +7 | +4.6 | 39 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +5 | +6.8 | 33 |
| 6 |
Fredrikstad
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +4 | -0.8 | 30 |
| 7 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | +1 | -3.6 | 30 |
| 8 |
Sandefjord
|
20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | +7 | -4.1 | 28 |
| 9 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +7 | +6.1 | 28 |
| 10 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +2 | +12.9 | 28 |
| 11 |
Molde
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | +1 | +1.0 | 27 |
| 12 |
Kristiansund
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -18 | -17.6 | 24 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -13 | -14.1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Bryne
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -12 | -4.6 | 20 |
| 15 |
Stromsgodset
|
21 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -18 | -21.8 | 16 |
| 16 |
Haugesund
|
21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | -42 | -33.6 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Borsheim
G
S. Rafn
D
S. Owusu
D
U. Fredriksen
D
O. Ohlenschlaeger
M
L. Owusu
M
P. Metcalfe
M
H. Skogvold
M
J. Nunez
F
Coach: Andreas Hagen
J. Gregersen
E. Saunes
M
M. Grodem
F
H. Larsen
F
Coach: Ole Kevin Knappen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Molde
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Haugesund
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Fredrikstad
Midtjylland
Fredrikstad
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.