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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Asteras Tripolis

U U T T T

0–1

Full-time

AEK

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

0,3

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 43%

11%

74%

Points per game

0,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

39%

32%

Both score Ø 38%

39%

37%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 8

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 14. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	14	4	1	+27	46
2	AEK	19	14	3	2	+20	45
3	PAOK	18	14	2	2	+27	44
4	Levadeiakos	18	10	5	3	+23	35
5	Panathinaikos	17	7	5	5	+3	26
6	Volos NFC	19	8	1	10	-8	25
7	Aris Thessalonikis	17	5	6	6	-4	21
8	Aris	17	5	6	6	-4	21
9	Kifisia	18	4	7	7	-3	19
10	Larisa	20	4	7	9	-12	19
11	OFI Crete	17	6	0	11	-8	18
12	Panetolikos	18	5	3	10	-13	18
13	Atromitos	18	4	4	10	-6	16
14	Asteras Tripolis	18	2	8	8	-9	14
15	Panserraikos	19	2	3	14	-33	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	PAOK	10	9	1	0	+18	28
3	AEK	10	9	0	1	+13	27
4	Levadeiakos	10	6	2	2	+17	20
5	Panathinaikos	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Volos NFC	8	4	1	3	-2	13
7	Larisa	11	3	4	4	-5	13
8	OFI Crete	9	4	0	5	+6	12
9	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Aris	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Kifisia	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Asteras Tripolis	8	1	5	2	+1	8
13	Panserraikos	9	2	1	6	-12	7
14	Panetolikos	9	2	0	7	-10	6
15	Atromitos	9	1	2	6	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	AEK	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	PAOK	8	5	1	2	+9	16
4	Levadeiakos	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Panetolikos	9	3	3	3	-3	12
6	Volos NFC	11	4	0	7	-6	12
7	Atromitos	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Kifisia	9	2	4	3	-2	10
9	Aris Thessalonikis	9	3	1	5	-5	10
10	Aris	9	3	1	5	-5	10
11	Panathinaikos	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Larisa	9	1	3	5	-7	6
13	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	3	6	-10	6
14	OFI Crete	8	2	0	6	-14	6
15	Panserraikos	10	0	2	8	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.