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Super League

Referee: A Tzilos

AEK

S T U T S

3–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — Super League · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 43%

50%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 24%

20%

27%

Both score Ø 38%

20%

55%

Average goals

1,7

1,9

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

74% Possession 26%

29 Shots 4

13 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

6 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match AEK 5. · Asteras Tripolis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	11	6	3	2	+7	21
2	Aris	11	6	3	2	+7	21
3	Panetolikos	12	6	3	3	+5	21
4	PAOK	11	6	2	3	+7	20
5	AEK	10	5	3	2	+9	18
6	Olympiakos	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Panathinaikos	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	OFI Crete	11	5	2	4	-2	17
10	Atromitos	12	4	3	5	+0	15
11	Panserraikos	12	3	1	8	-8	10
12	Volos NFC	10	3	1	6	-8	10
13	Lamia	11	1	4	6	-10	7
14	Levadeiakos	11	0	6	5	-10	6
15	Athens Kallithea	11	0	6	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Aris	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Panetolikos	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	AEK	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Olympiakos	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Panathinaikos	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	OFI Crete	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	PAOK	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Atromitos	7	1	2	4	-3	5
11	Panserraikos	6	1	1	4	-3	4
12	Athens Kallithea	5	0	3	2	-5	3
13	Levadeiakos	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Lamia	5	0	2	3	-5	2
15	Volos NFC	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Atromitos	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Asteras Tripolis	6	2	4	0	+3	10
4	OFI Crete	6	3	1	2	-2	10
5	Volos NFC	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Panetolikos	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Aris Thessalonikis	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Aris	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Panathinaikos	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Olympiakos	6	2	1	3	+2	7
11	AEK	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Panserraikos	6	2	0	4	-5	6
13	Lamia	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Levadeiakos	6	0	3	3	-5	3
15	Athens Kallithea	6	0	3	3	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.