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Champions League
Referee: Luís Godinho
AEK
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
LASK
S T S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
3,2
2,8
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,71 xG 0,72
49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK LASK
M. Nikolić 🟨
11′
1–0 Răzvan Marin ⚽
21′
Luka Jovic 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Melayro Bogarde
Half-time 1–0
Luka Jovic ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
65′
🔁 Alessandro Schöpf
↦ Robert Ljubicic
65′
🔁 Florian Flecker
↦ Kasper Jorgensen
74′
🔁 Sasa Kalajdzic
↦ Christoph Lang
80′
🟨 Andres Andrade
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador 🔁
↦ Luka Jovic
82′
Mijat Gaćinović 🔁
↦ Aboubakary Koita
91′
Kervin Arriaga 🔁
↦ Lovro Majer
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
91 A. Brignoli G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 Filipe Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
14 L. Majer M
27 M. Vitális M
18 R. Marin M
11 A. Koita M
19 B. Varga F
9 L. Jović F
Bench (10)
10 O. Zubkov
90 Zini
21 D. Vida
20 P. Mantalos
22 C. Lykogiannis
6 K. Kairinen
23 João Mário
8 M. Gaćinović
41 Marios Balamotis
16 K. Arriaga

Coach: M. Nikolić

LASK

5-3-2
1 L. Jungwirth G
20 K. Jørgensen D
4 X. Mbuyamba D
43 Alemão D
16 A. Andrade D
2 G. Bello D
6 M. Bogarde M
10 R. Ljubičić M
30 S. Horvath M
8 M. Usor F
27 C. Lang F
Bench (11)
21 M. Verhaeghe
33 T. Schützenauer
18 A. Schöpf
45 N. Kane
11 S. Kalajdzic
3 M. Freckleton
29 F. Flecker
23 Daniel Elfadli
25 Y. Dibango
9 K. Daněk
50 Fabian Schillinger

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
🔒
U
4,00
🔒
B
4,20
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,16
🔒
U1,5 ✓
5,00
🔒
O2,5
1,54
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,45
🔒
O3,5
2,33
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,61
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,52
🔒
BLS nei ✓
2,45
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.