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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Villarreal B
T S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Santander
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
52%
22%
Both score Ø 41%
48%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,6
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 13. · Santander 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 28 14 11 3 +18 53
2 Alaves 28 15 7 6 +14 52
3 Levante 28 13 12 3 +14 51
4 Eibar 28 14 8 6 +7 50
5 Granada 28 14 6 8 +16 48
6 Albacete 28 12 10 6 +6 46
7 Burgos 28 11 11 6 +8 44
8 Cartagena 28 11 7 10 +3 40
9 Leganes 28 10 9 9 +2 39
10 Tenerife 28 9 10 9 -1 37
11 Huesca 28 8 12 8 -1 36
12 Andorra 28 10 5 13 +2 35
13 Villarreal B 27 9 7 11 -5 34
14 Oviedo 28 9 7 12 -5 34
15 Sp Gijon 28 7 12 9 -3 33
16 Zaragoza 27 8 9 10 -3 33
17 Mirandes 28 8 9 11 -4 33
18 Santander 27 7 9 11 -4 30
19 Ponferradina 28 6 11 11 -9 29
20 Malaga 27 4 10 13 -12 22
21 Lugo 28 5 7 16 -19 22
22 Ibiza 28 4 7 17 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Santander
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Roko Baturina
59′
🔁 Matheus Aiás
↦ R. Baturina
62′
🟨 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
63′
Jordi Mboula 0–1
Iñigo Vicente
1–1 Sergio Lozano
Carlos Romero
66′
69′
🔁 Jorge Pombo
↦ Iñigo Vicente
69′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ Íñigo Sainz Maza
73′
🟨 Aritz Aldasoro
Antonio Pacheco 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
80′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
80′
Álex Forés 🔁
↦ Diego Collado
85′
Carlo Adriano 🔁
↦ Sergio Lozano
85′
85′
🔁 Yeray Cabanzón
↦ Marco Sangalli
85′
🔁 Fausto Tienza
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
2–1 Álex Millán
Sergio Carreira
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal B

4-4-2
13 Iker Álvarez G
5 Sergio Carreira D
4 Dela D
19 Pablo Íñiguez D
18 Carlos Romero D
14 H. Hassan M
6 Alberto del Moral M
16 Ramón Terrats M
21 Sergio Lozano M
11 Fer Niño F
7 Diego Collado F
Bench (9)
20 Antonio Pacheco
9 Álex Millán
17 Álex Forés
8 Carlo Adriano
23 M. Fall
3 Dani Tasende
25 Gianni
2 Migue Leal
22 T. Geralnik

Coach: Miguel Álvarez

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
16 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén González D
18 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
14 Jordi Mboula M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
25 Marco Sangalli M
11 R. Baturina F
Bench (11)
19 Matheus Aiás
24 Jorge Pombo
20 J. Elitim
41 Yeray Cabanzón
8 Fausto Tienza
40 Mario García
4 Pol Moreno
13 Jokin Ezkieta
12 S. Gassama
9 C. Omoigui
17 Unai Medina

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,01
B
3,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.