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Copa del Rey

Referee: Miguel González

Zamora

2–2

Full-time

Santander

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
33	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hernán Cortés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tardienta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Atlético Astorga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Valle Egüés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Rubí	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Cadiz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Cartagena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

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U ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

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U1,5

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O2,5 ✓

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U2,5

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O3,5 ✓

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U3,5

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Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

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BLS nei

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,4 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

23,0 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

Recent matches

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