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LaLiga2
Referee: Andrés Fuentes
Santander
T T S S S
1–3
Full-time
Ferrol
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santander Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 22
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santander 8. · Ferrol 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 13 9 1 3 +15 28
2 Eibar 13 8 1 4 +8 25
3 Sp Gijon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
4 Espanol 13 7 2 4 +8 23
5 Levante 13 6 5 2 +4 23
6 Tenerife 13 7 2 4 +4 23
7 Valladolid 13 7 1 5 +0 22
8 Santander 12 6 3 3 +6 21
9 Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 +4 20
10 Elche 13 5 4 4 -3 19
11 Oviedo 13 4 5 4 +4 17
12 Mirandes 13 5 2 6 -1 17
13 Ferrol 12 4 5 3 -1 17
14 Burgos 12 5 1 6 -2 16
15 Eldense 13 4 4 5 -4 16
16 Andorra 13 5 1 7 -4 16
17 Albacete 13 4 3 6 -6 15
18 Villarreal B 13 3 4 6 -3 13
19 Amorebieta 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Alcorcon 13 2 4 7 -11 10
21 Huesca 13 1 6 6 -6 9
22 Cartagena 13 1 3 9 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santander Ferrol
24′
🟨 Josep Señé
1–0 Álvaro Mantilla
Iñigo Vicente
25′
35′
Carlos Vicente 1–1
Héber Pena
45′
ℹ️ Heber Pena Picos
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
🔁 Enrique Clemente
↦ Jon García
Half-time 1–1
Yeray Cabanzón 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
46′
47′
Héber Pena 1–2
47′
🟨 David Castro
48′
Héber Pena 1–3
Carlos Vicente
49′
🟨 Heber Pena Picos
Ekain Zenitagoia 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
53′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ Andrés Martín
53′
Aritz Aldasoro 🔁
↦ C. Grenier
53′
65′
🔁 Fran Manzanara
↦ Josep Señé
65′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Álvaro Giménez
65′
🔁 Sabin Merino
↦ Héber Pena
70′
🟨 Francisco De La Manzanara
Jorge Pombo 🔁
↦ Iván Morante
74′
75′
🟨 Moises Delgado
85′
🔁 Sergio Cubero
↦ Carlos Vicente
Saúl García 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
23 Dani Fernández D
5 Germán Sánchez D
2 Álvaro Mantilla D
3 Saúl García D
16 Iván Morante M
19 C. Grenier M
11 Andrés Martín M
17 Peque Fernández M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
27 Yeray Cabanzón
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
20 L. Junior
21 Aritz Aldasoro
8 Jorge Pombo
40 Mario García
4 Pol Moreno
22 Juan Gutiérrez
7 Marco Sangalli
1 Miquel Parera
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
15 Rubén Alves

Coach: José Alberto López

Ferrol

4-4-2
25 Ander Cantero G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 Jon García D
15 David Castro D
21 Moi Delgado D
23 Carlos Vicente M
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
7 Héber Pena M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
22 Iker Losada F
Bench (11)
5 Enrique Clemente
16 Fran Manzanara
11 Nacho Sánchez
19 Sabin Merino
24 Sergio Cubero
8 Álex López
18 Brais Martínez
1 G. Gazzaniga
13 Emilio Bernad
14 Álvaro Vadillo
9 Manu Justo

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,07
B ✓
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrés Fuentes · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.