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Serie B
Referee: A Colombo
Monza
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Mantova
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monza Mantova
Patrick Ciurria 🟨
11′
Samuele Birindelli 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Nicolò Radaelli
1–0 A. Izzo ⚽
P. Ciurria
56′
60′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ N. Radaelli
60′
🔁 D. Mensah
↦ C. Falletti
N. Galazzi 🔁
↦ P. Ciurria
68′
K. Balde 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
69′
70′
🟨 Davis Mensah
71′
🔁 F. Galuppini
↦ D. Bragantini
L. Colombo 🔁
↦ M. Pessina
79′
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ D. Mota
79′
81′
🟨 Simone Trimboli
82′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ Z. Majer
82′
🔁 A. Fiori
↦ M. Caprini
F. Delli Carri 🔁
↦ L. Lucchesi
89′
Keita Baldé 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Monza

3-4-2-1
20 D. Thiam G
4 A. Izzo D
13 L. Ravanelli D
3 L. Lucchesi D
19 S. Birindelli M
32 M. Pessina M
14 P. Obiang M
7 P. Azzi M
26 P. Ciurria F
10 G. Caprari F
47 D. Mota F
Bench (12)
1 S. Pizzignacco
43 A. Strajnar
27 S. Capolupo
15 F. Delli Carri
2 A. Brorsson
21 L. Colombo
28 A. Colpani
23 N. Galazzi
16 J. Sardo
17 K. Balde
9 M. Maric
37 A. Petagna

Coach: Paolo Bianco

Mantova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Festa G
17 N. Radaelli D
3 V. Mantovani D
29 S. Cella D
6 C. Bani D
21 S. Trimboli M
37 Z. Majer M
30 D. Bragantini M
18 C. Falletti M
28 M. Caprini M
9 L. Mancuso F
Bench (12)
22 L. Andrenacci
27 A. Castellini
96 T. Maggioni
4 S. Mullen
53 T. Pittino
20 G. Fedel
14 F. Galuppini
36 F. Paoletti
10 D. Wieser
11 A. Fiori
23 T. Marras
7 D. Mensah

Coach: Francesco Modesto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
🔒
U
3,52
🔒
B
4,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,93
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.