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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Cremonese
U U S T T
3–0
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 39/40 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
53%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Juve Stabia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 +40 82
2 Pisa 38 22 8 8 +25 74
3 Spezia 39 18 15 6 +28 69
4 Cremonese 39 16 13 10 +17 61
5 Juve Stabia 40 16 13 11 +3 61
6 Catanzaro 40 12 20 8 +5 56
7 Cesena 39 14 11 14 -2 53
8 Palermo 39 14 10 15 +8 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 +1 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 -7 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 -2 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 -10 45
13 Mantova 38 10 14 14 -9 44
14 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 -10 44
15 Brescia 38 9 16 13 -6 43
16 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 -13 43
17 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 -10 42
18 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 -11 41
19 Cittadella 38 10 10 18 -23 40
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 -24 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Juve Stabia
1–0 M. Castagnetti
T. Barbieri
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Y. Rocchetti
↦ M. Bellich
58′
ℹ️ Cristian Andreoni
VAR: Card upgrade
59′
🟥 Cristian Andreoni
2–0 D. Johnsen
J. Vandeputte
60′
62′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ L. Sgarbi
Tommaso Barbieri 🟨
63′
3–0 J. Vandeputte
F. Vázquez
66′
F. Gelli 🔁
↦ T. Barbieri
71′
Franco Vázquez 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 M. Baldi
↦ C. Pierobon
F. Bonazzoli 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
77′
M. Valoti 🔁
↦ J. Vandeputte
77′
Mattia Valoti 🟨
81′
L. Moretti 🔁
↦ F. Folino
82′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
82′
84′
🟨 Demba Thiam
88′
🔁 A. Signorini
↦ D. Thiam
88′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ N. Mosti
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-4-1-2
1 A. Fulignati G
55 F. Folino D
5 L. Ravanelli D
23 F. Ceccherini D
4 T. Barbieri M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
7 Paulo Azzi M
18 M. Collocolo F
20 F. Vázquez F
11 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
14 F. Gelli
90 F. Bonazzoli
8 M. Valoti
42 L. Moretti
99 M. Nasti
12 G. Drago
98 L. Zanimacchia
6 C. Pickel
37 Ž. Majer
9 M. De Luca
25 D. Triacca
30 J. Tånnander

Coach: G. Stroppa

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
45 P. Peda D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
10 C. Pierobon M
98 N. Mosti M
28 C. Andreoni M
18 L. Sgarbi F
9 A. Adorante F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
3 Y. Rocchetti
37 F. Maistro
13 M. Baldi
16 A. Signorini
14 M. Meli
11 K. Piscopo
1 K. Matošević
17 G. Morachioli
80 A. Louati
7 E. Dubickas
55 G. Leone
2 D. Quaranta

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.