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Serie B
Referee: A Rapuano
Spezia
S U T U T
0–0
Full-time
Catanzaro
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 18. · Catanzaro 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Modena 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Carrarese 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Reggiana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Palermo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Monza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Empoli 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Mantova 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Juve Stabia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sudtirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Bari 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Sampdoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Spezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Pescara 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Catanzaro
Salvatore Esposito 🟨
1′
6′
🟨 Alphadjo Cissè
Half-time 0–0
Pietro Candelari 🟨
48′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ P. Candelari
60′
60′
🔁 G. Di Chiara
↦ B. Verrengia
60′
🔁 N. Buso
↦ A. Cisse
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ G. Artistico
68′
C. Comotto 🔁
↦ A. Nagy
68′
P. Beruatto 🔁
↦ A. Cistana
75′
V. Vlahovic 🔁
↦ G. Di Serio
75′
77′
🔁 R. Frosinini
↦ M. D'Alessandro
Aleš Matějů 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Ruggero Frosinini
85′
🔁 P. Nuamah
↦ D. Bettella
95′
🟨 Filippo Pittarello
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
12 D. Mascardi G
2 P. Wisniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
15 A. Cistana D
23 A. Candela M
8 A. Nagy M
5 S. Esposito M
36 P. Candelari M
37 A. Mateju M
9 G. Artistico F
20 G. Di Serio F
Bench (12)
16 L. Loria
11 P. Beruatto
14 S. Zurkowski
21 A. Insignito
24 A. Bertoncini
26 M. Onofri
27 E. Soleri
29 F. Cassata
34 C. Comotto
65 S. Giorgeschi
77 E. Lorenzelli
99 V. Vlahovic

Coach: Luca D'Angelo

Catanzaro

5-3-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
27 C. Favasuli D
18 D. Bettella D
4 Matias Antonini D
26 B. Verrengia D
77 M. D'Alessandro D
20 S. Pontisso M
80 A. Cisse M
32 F. Rispoli M
8 F. Pittarello F
9 P. Iemmello F
Bench (12)
1 C. Marietta
5 E. Bashi
23 N. Brighenti
17 G. Di Chiara
62 R. Frosinini
10 J. Petriccione
30 G. Alesi
19 P. Nuamah
91 G. Arditi
45 N. Buso
14 M. Liberali
61 S. Seha

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,27
B
3,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.