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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Mucera
Lecce
U T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Lecce Juve Stabia
Santiago Pierotti ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
25′
1–0 N. Krstovic ⚽
27′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Pierobon
↦ T. Battistella
Lameck Banda 🟥
49′
Tete Morente 🔁
↦ T. J. Helgason
56′
D. Veiga 🔁
↦ C. Kouassi
56′
Y. Ramadani 🔁
↦ B. Pierret
56′
61′
🔁 A. Cacciamani
↦ N. Mosti
61′
🔁 R. Burnete
↦ M. Mannini
F. Camarda 🔁
↦ N. Krstovic
72′
79′
🔁 G. De Pieri
↦ G. Stabile
M. Kaba 🔁
↦ S. Pierotti
82′
86′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ L. Candellone
2–0 M. Kaba ⚽
F. Camarda
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lecce

4-3-3
30 W. Falcone G
21 C. Kouassi D
4 K. Gaspar D
44 Tiago Gabriel D
25 A. Gallo D
29 L. Coulibaly M
75 B. Pierret M
14 T. J. Helgason M
50 S. Pierotti F
9 N. Krstovic F
19 L. Banda F
Bench (14)
1 C. Fruchtl
32 J. Samooja
3 C. Ndaba
7 Tete Morente
8 H. Rafia
10 M. Berisha
11 K. Ndri
17 D. Veiga
20 Y. Ramadani
22 F. Camarda
23 R. Sottil
28 O. Gorter
77 M. Kaba
93 Y. Maleh

Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco

Juve Stabia

4-4-2
1 A. Confente G
24 L. Carissoni D
4 M. Ruggero D
6 M. Bellich D
19 G. Stabile
98 N. Mosti M
55 G. Leone M
5 T. Battistella M
76 M. Mannini M
27 L. Candellone F
11 K. Piscopo F
Bench (12)
16 A. Signorini
12 P. Boer
13 M. Varnier
15 M. Baldi
26 F. D'Amore
8 D. Buglio
10 C. Pierobon
37 F. Maistro
77 A. Cacciamani
80 A. Louati
7 R. Burnete
21 G. De Pieri

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Mucera · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.