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Serie B
Referee: L Pairetto
Spezia
S S U T U
0–2
Full-time
Carrarese
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jan -25 Carrarese – Spezia 0–4 22. Sep -24 Spezia – Carrarese 4–2

Match report

Spezia Carrarese
Petko Hristov 🟨
5′
31′
🟨 Julián Illanes
43′
ℹ️ Nicolas Schiavi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Rachid Kouda 🟥
44′
Salvatore Esposito 🟨
45′
45′
⚽ N. Schiavi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
G. Artistico 🔁
↦ E. Soleri
46′
C. Comotto 🔁
↦ A. Cistana
46′
47′
🟨 Fabio Ruggeri
65′
🔁 N. Calabrese
↦ F. Ruggeri
65′
🔁 F. Melegoni
↦ K. Bozhanaj
P. Candelari 🔁
↦ A. Nagy
67′
Aleš Matějů 🟨
68′
71′
⚽ N. Schiavi 0–2
75′
🔁 D. Bouah
↦ S. Zanon
75′
🔁 E. Torregrossa
↦ F. Abiuso
Christian Comotto 🟨
82′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ A. Candela
88′
88′
🔁 M. Cicconi
↦ N. Belloni
Giuseppe Di Serio 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
12 D. Mascardi G
2 P. Wisniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
15 A. Cistana D
37 A. Mateju M
8 A. Nagy M
5 S. Esposito M
80 R. Kouda M
23 A. Candela M
27 E. Soleri F
20 G. Di Serio F
Bench (12)
22 L. Loria
9 G. Artistico
14 S. Zurkowski
21 A. Insignito
24 A. Bertoncini
26 M. Onofri
29 F. Cassata
30 G. Corradini
34 C. Comotto
36 P. Candelari
65 S. Giorgeschi
82 H. Djankpata

Coach: Luca D'Angelo

Carrarese

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bleve G
26 F. Ruggeri D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
18 N. Schiavi M
17 E. Zuelli M
7 N. Belloni M
32 M. Finotto F
10 K. Bozhanaj F
9 F. Abiuso F
Bench (12)
99 V. Fiorillo
12 G. Garofani
37 N. Calabrese
6 F. Oliana
80 F. Accornero
13 D. Bouah
11 M. Cicconi
8 F. Melegoni
77 G. Parlanti
28 F. Di Stefano
21 T. Rubino
92 E. Torregrossa

Coach: Antonio Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
🔒
U
3,55
🔒
B ✓
4,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,00
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Pairetto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.