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Eredivisie

Referee: A Bos

Volendam

S T U U U

1–1

Full-time

Ajax

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Volendam Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 1,38

31% Possession 69%

11 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Volendam 10. · Ajax 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.9	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.5	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+4	+4.0	7
4	Utrecht	3	2	0	1	+6	+1.8	6
5	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.6	6
6	Zwolle	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
8	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.3	6
9	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
10	Volendam	3	0	3	0	+0	-3.0	3
11	Twente	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.9	3
12	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	-4.6	3
13	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.4	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
15	Heerenveen	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.5	1
16	Telstar	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.6	1
17	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.4	0
18	Heracles	4	0	0	4	-13	-7.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.2	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.7	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+7	+1.9	6
4	Groningen	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.0	6
5	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.1	3
7	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
8	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
9	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
10	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.9	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
14	Telstar	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.2	1
16	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.4	0
17	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
18	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
3	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.4	3
5	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
7	Volendam	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
8	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.9	1
11	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.4	0
12	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
14	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
15	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.2	0
16	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0
17	Excelsior	2	0	0	2	-8	-1.9	0
18	Heracles	3	0	0	3	-10	-5.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.