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Bundesliga

Referee: I Simsek

Salzburg

T S T S S

2–2

Full-time

BW Linz

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

74% Possession 26%

21 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · BW Linz 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+9	+4.2	10
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.8	10
3	Altach	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.1	8
4	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
5	Sturm Graz	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.9	6
6	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+2	+0.1	6
7	Hartberg	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.4	6
8	Ried	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.4	4
9	Grazer AK	4	0	3	1	-5	-3.0	3
10	LASK	4	1	0	3	-6	-5.0	3
11	Austria Vienna	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.0	1
12	BW Linz	4	0	0	4	-7	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+8	+2.7	6
2	Tirol	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
3	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
4	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.1	3
6	LASK	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.9	3
7	Grazer AK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
9	Hartberg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.3	0
12	Austria Vienna	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
2	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.0	6
3	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.4	6
4	Altach	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
5	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
6	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
7	Ried	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.9	3
8	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
10	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.7	1
11	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.8	0
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.