Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +2.5 | 9 |
| 2 |
Hearts
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +0.8 | 7 |
| 3 |
Hibernian
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +1.1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Livingston
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +0.6 | 4 |
| 5 |
Kilmarnock
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | -0.1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Motherwell
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 7 |
Rangers
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 8 |
Dundee
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -2.0 | 2 |
| 9 |
St Mirren
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -1.5 | 2 |
| 10 |
Dundee United
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 12 |
Aberdeen
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
C. Ward
G
S. O'Donnell
D
E. Longelo
D
E. Just
M
E. Watt
M
L. Fadinger
M
T. Maswanhise
F
A. Stamatelopoulos
F
I. Said
F
Coach: Jens Berthel Askou
M. Stryjek
G
G. Stanger
D
L. Mayo
D
R. Deas
D
D. Thompson
D
D. Watson
M
B. Lyons
M
D. Daniels
F
Coach: Stuart Kettlewell
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hearts
Motherwell
St Mirren
Motherwell
Motherwell
Rangers
Ross County
Motherwell
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.