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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Motherwell
S U U U U
2–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

73% Possession 27%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Kilmarnock 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Celtic 3 3 0 0 +6 +2.5 9
2 Hearts 3 2 1 0 +3 +0.8 7
3 Hibernian 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.1 4
4 Livingston 3 1 1 1 -1 +0.6 4
5 Kilmarnock 3 0 3 0 +0 -0.1 3
6 Motherwell 3 0 3 0 +0 +1.8 3
7 Rangers 3 0 3 0 +0 -0.9 3
8 Dundee 3 0 2 1 -1 -2.0 2
9 St Mirren 3 0 2 1 -1 -1.5 2
10 Dundee United 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
11 Falkirk 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.7 1
12 Aberdeen 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Kilmarnock
19′
D. Daniels 0–1
B. Lyons
27′
🟨 Djenairo Daniels
Elliot Watt 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
1–1 T. Maswanhise
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Dackers
↦ D. Daniels
46′
🔁 T. Lowery
↦ B. Lyons
52′
🟨 Robbie Deas
2–1 E. Longelo
62′
70′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ L. Polworth
70′
🔁 K. Magennis
↦ B. Anderson
O. Priestman 🔁
↦ E. Watt
73′
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ I. Said
73′
C. Hendry 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
74′
81′
G. Stanger 2–2
83′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ G. Stanger
84′
🟨 Kyle Magennis
J. Koutroumbis 🔁
↦ S. O'Donnell
88′
93′
🟨 Marcus Dackers
Liam Gordon 🟨
94′
K. Balmer 🔁
↦ E. Just
95′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 C. Ward G
2 S. O'Donnell D
4 L. Gordon D
16 P. McGinn D
45 E. Longelo D
21 E. Just M
20 E. Watt M
12 L. Fadinger M
18 T. Maswanhise F
9 A. Stamatelopoulos F
90 I. Said F
Bench (9)
1 A. Oxborough
5 K. Balmer
11 A. Halliday
22 J. Koutroumbis
24 D. E. Osong
25 O. Priestman
28 L. Ross
66 C. Hendry
77 R. Charles-Cook

Coach: Jens Berthel Askou

Kilmarnock

5-3-2
1 M. Stryjek G
26 B. Brannan D
14 G. Stanger D
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
3 D. Thompson D
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
31 L. Polworth M
19 B. Anderson F
29 D. Daniels F
Bench (9)
30 E. Beach
7 R. McKenzie
9 M. Dackers
11 G. Kiltie
25 E. Schilte-Brown
16 K. Magennis
18 T. Lowery
23 M. Watkins
15 J. Brown

Coach: Stuart Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U ✓
3,39
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,95
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.